Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
685
FNUS52 KILM 050658
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will push further offshore this week. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, mainly
inland. Rain chances increase on Thursday ahead of a cold front.
Dry weather and seasonable temperatures are expected for the
weekend, with scattered showers and thunderstorms returning early
next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-052300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 49 95 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 7 G17 SW 9 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 8 G17 SW 7 G17 SW 11 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 0 1 2
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5700
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 SW 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88400 136800
ADI Early 71 Good 75 Good 85 Good
ADI Late 87 Good 15 Gen Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-052300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 91 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 47 97 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SW 8 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 S 6 SW 11 G22
Precip Amount 0.02 0.03 0.05
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 74/0700
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 6500
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95200 169000
ADI Early 68 Good 66 Good 98 Good
ADI Late 91 Good 12 Poor 117 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-052300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 90 70 92
Min/Max RH (%) 48 98 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 SW 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 8 G18 S 6 SW 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 75/0700
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6800
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87000 156400
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 62 Good 111 Very Good
ADI Late 81 Good 12 Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-052300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 90 70 92
Min/Max RH (%) 47 98 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 S 5 SW 11 G21
Precip Amount 0.03 0.06 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 3
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 11 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 92800 171600
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 93 Good
ADI Late 88 Good 12 Poor 113 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21