Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
652
FNUS52 KILM 041849
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
249 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to push further offshore this week.
Afternoon shower and storm chances increase through the week as
temperatures and humidity increase.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-051100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
249 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 70
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3 4
Min/Max Temp 67 89 71 92
Max/Min RH (%) 96 51 95 55
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 7 G17 SW 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 G18 SW 6 SW 11 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07
Precip Duration 0 2 5
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2000 73/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5600
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 89600 117600
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 66 Good 62 Good 89 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 84 Good 12 Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
249 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 5
Min/Max Temp 68 89 70 92
Max/Min RH (%) 97 51 96 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 4 S 6 SW 7 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 S 5 SW 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1 2 6
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0800 2000 72/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 6900
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82500 158700
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 67 Good 58 Gen Good 102 Very Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 84 Good 11 Poor 137 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
249 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 67 88 70 93
Max/Min RH (%) 96 54 98 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 6 G17 SW 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G18 SW 5 SW 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2 5
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2000 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 7400
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82500 148000
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 104 Very Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 77 Good 10 Poor 127 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
249 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 40 40 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 66 88 70 92
Max/Min RH (%) 97 55 97 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 4 S 6 SW 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 S 5 SW 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.03 0.10 0.11 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 2000 72/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 7200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65800 158400
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 108 Very Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 72 Good 10 Poor 144 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...CRM