Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
021 ACUS11 KWNS 301355 SWOMCD SPC MCD 301355 TXZ000-OKZ000-301530- Mesoscale Discussion 1076 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0855 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024 Areas affected...northwest Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 301355Z - 301530Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Sporadic strong gusts of 40-50 mph are possible with a line of thunderstorms developing southeast through the morning. DISCUSSION...A line of storms will continue to develop south/southeast across the Texas South Plains/northwest Texas vicinity this morning. Recent observations from the West Texas Mesonet indicated gusts of 40-50 mph have occurred near Wellington, while KCDS gusted to 63 mph. This activity will continue to move into an unstable airmass characterized by low to mid 60s F dewpoints and around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE. Portions of the downstream airmass have likely been impacted by another cluster of storms that moved over this area and is now located of north Texas. At least weak low-level inhibition is evident in regional 12z RAOBs and latest SPC Mesoanalysis. As a result of impacts from prior convection and a still weakly capped environment, expect convection to largely remain sub-severe in this short term, with gusts mostly in the 40-50 mph range possible, though isolated locally stronger gusts will be possible. A watch is not expected at this time. ..Leitman/Guyer.. 05/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 34810053 34949973 34709940 34339937 33649954 33249985 33170074 33280163 33480198 33870207 34200200 34450151 34810053