Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
281 FXUS64 KCRP 030650 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1250 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1240 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 - Low to medium rain chances (30-60%) today through Friday - Potential minor coastal flooding today through late week && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1240 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 As onshore flow resumes today an overrunning pattern will develop leading to increased rain chances across the area. PWATs are progged to rise to near 1.8-1.9 inches by this evening, which is well above normal (99th percentile) for this time of year. Although most of the rain will concentrate over the Victoria Crossroads with PoPs at 30- 60% today through tonight, medium chances will spread westward (40- 60%) Thursday morning ahead of the next cold front. The boundary will swing by the region and exit into the coastal waters by Thursday afternoon with rain chances shifting back eastward. Low to medium rain chances will then continue through Friday night before drying out over the weekend as another boundary moves through and high pressure settles behind it. Temperatures will be warmer today, with highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Thursday will be a few degrees cooler, but highs will struggle to get out of the 50s Friday owing to the increased cloud coverage and rain in the wake of Thursday`s front. Warmer temperatures return over the weekend, but will be cooler early next week behind the next boundary. Thursday night and Monday night will be the coldest, with lows mostly in the 40s. We will continue to monitor beach conditions for potential minor coastal flooding today through late week, with tide levels forecast to peak close to 1.8 ft MSL. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Terminals along the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads will transition to MVFR conditions brought by lowering CIGs, especially closest to the coast. Terminals across the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains are expected to be on the periphery of this low-level cloud deck. Rain chances increase across the Victoria Crossroads from 22Z-03Z leading to a PROB30 group, but should be just light rain and drizzle reducing VIS and CIGs. By the end of the TAF period, most locations east of KCRP drop down to prevailing IFR conditions from another surge of scattered showers, but this will be reflected in the next TAF cycle. && .MARINE... Issued at 1240 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 A gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) can be expected today through tonight across the coastal waters. Another cold front is forecast to push through Thursday morning, bringing another wave of fresh to strong northeasterly flow in its wake through Thursday night. This will likely warrant a Small Craft Advisory. Winds weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the weekend, with the wind direction varying. Moderate rain chances today will increase to medium to high, 60-90%, Thursday through Friday. Low rain chances linger through Saturday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 69 60 68 48 / 20 30 60 50 Victoria 67 55 62 43 / 40 60 60 40 Laredo 75 60 67 50 / 10 20 50 40 Alice 70 57 66 45 / 10 20 50 50 Rockport 71 60 67 48 / 40 50 70 50 Cotulla 71 55 61 47 / 0 30 50 40 Kingsville 71 60 68 47 / 20 20 50 50 Navy Corpus 72 64 70 51 / 40 40 70 50 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ANM/88 AVIATION...AE/82