572
FXUS64 KCRP 040620
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1220 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1209 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Low to medium rain chances (20-50%) today through Friday

- Potential minor coastal flooding today through late week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1209 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Patchy light rain, drizzle, and fog continues overnight across the
region courtesy of a passing coastal trough and an overrunning
pattern that developed ahead of the next frontal boundary. Moisture
will linger through the morning hours today allowing for additional
low to medium (20-50%) rain chances over the area. The front is
progged to push through during the afternoon hours today, with
slightly drier conditions expected behind it through the evening. By
Friday though, rain chances increase again (20-50%) especially over
portions of the Victoria Crossroads where isentropic lift becomes
more efficient. After that, the weekend is shaping much drier, while
another boundary is progged to swing through the region on Sunday.
Generally dry conditions will then follow into next week as high
pressure settles over the area.

Temperatures today will run a few degrees cooler than yesterday, with
highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Tonight, lows will drop into the
40s again areawide in the wake of the front, while highs will
struggle to get out of the 50s on Friday. Much warmer temperatures
can then be expected over the weekend (highs in the upper 60s to low
80s), followed by slightly cooler temperatures early next week
behind the secondary front.

Minor coastal flooding remains a concern through late week. Tides on
Wednesday reached 1.8 ft MSL at high tide, but swell periods
remained at around 6 seconds which didn`t result in impact across
area beaches. Today, tides will peak at around 1.8-2.9 ft MSL again,
so will keep monitoring beach conditions in case an Advisory is
required.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Deteriorating conditions continue across South Texas, with
widespread LIFR ceilings in advance of an approaching cold front.
Visibilities have also dropped to IFR/LIFR over VCT/CRP, and will
likely continue through the early morning hours, spreading
westward towards LRD between 11-15Z. LIFR ceilings will persist
through majority of the morning, before improving to IFR/MVFR in
the afternoon as the cold front pushes through. VCT may be socked
into IFR through the entire forecast where low ceilings linger.
There is also a low chance of light rain in the mix through the
morning hours, but thunderstorm potential is too low to include at
this time. Winds will shift to the north and strengthen to around
15 knots with gusts 20-25 knots following the frontal passage.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1209 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for the bays and nearshore waters
through 6 AM today. A cold front is forecast to push through the
area this afternoon, bringing another wave of fresh to strong
northerly flow in its wake through Friday morning. This will result
in Small Craft Advisory this afternoon through late tonight. Winds
are forecast to weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the
weekend, with the wind direction varying. Rain chances today will
increase to medium to high, 60-90% through Friday night. Low to
medium chances linger through Saturday evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1209 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the week.
Winds will remain light to moderate inland, predominately out of the
north to northeast. Minimum relative humidity will remain above 30%
daily through Saturday. Sunday`s relative humidity values will dip
below 30% due to a passing cold front, however due to low ERC and
winds, confidence is low for any elevated fire weather conditions.
Low to medium rain chances continue today through Friday, with
greatest chances over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    64  47  58  52 /  30  30  40  30
Victoria          58  42  56  47 /  50  20  40  10
Laredo            65  50  63  54 /  20  30  30  20
Alice             62  45  59  49 /  30  30  30  20
Rockport          65  48  60  53 /  40  30  40  30
Cotulla           62  46  60  49 /  40  30  40  10
Kingsville        64  46  60  51 /  20  20  30  20
Navy Corpus       65  50  61  57 /  50  30  40  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ231-
     232-236-237-250-255.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to midnight CST
     tonight for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...EMF/94