109
FXUS64 KCRP 220217
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
817 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 747 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Only minor change to the forecast with the evening update was to
lower MinTs slightly based on hourly observational trends and the
near ideal radiational cooling setup.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 117 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Beautiful weather will continue tonight through Friday night as
high pressure continues. After overnight lows in the low to mid
40s, temperatures will warm slightly as onshore flow develops and
slowly brings in warm air. Highs Friday will be back in the upper
70s and low 80s, with overnight lows in the upper 40s and low
50s. Onshore flow will also gradually increase the moisture over
the area. Confidence is very low, but a few of the models have
been hinting at patchy fog across the Coastal Plains late Friday
night

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 117 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Expect the quiet conditions to continue across the region through
early to mid next week thanks to riding persisting. As the surface
high pressure begins to track to the east, moisture will return to
the region and flow will shift to the southeast allowing for
increasing temperatures over the next few days across the region.
High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s with some spots
approaching 90 by the early next week. The pressure gradient will
tighten over the region this weekend into early next week with an
approaching trough to the north and the surface high pressure
shifting east increasing our winds. This will allow for Small Craft
Advisory conditions over the waters late this weekend into early
next week. Models depict a cold front moving through the region late
next week which will likely give us our next shot at more seasonal
temperatures. However models (ECMWF,Canadian,GFS) are still in
disagreement on the timing and location of the trough, therefore it
will continue to be monitored in impending forecasts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds will
generally be light and variable through the overnight period and
Friday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 117 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Light and variable winds persist through early Saturday. Onshore
flow gradually increases late Saturday into Sunday, becoming
moderate and occasionally strong Sunday night. Winds Monday
through the middle of next week are expected to remain moderate
out of the south to southeast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    46  77  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          38  79  44  81 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            47  80  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             42  80  50  84 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          49  77  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           42  80  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        44  79  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       58  75  65  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LS/77
LONG TERM....NP/92
AVIATION...NC/91