767
FXUS64 KLZK 070549
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1149 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION...


.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

 + Areas of fog are expected to persist this morning across a
   large potion of the state.

 + A series of cold fronts will move across the state over the
   next several days with temperatures flip flopping a bit.

 + Little if any precipitation if expected over the next seven
   days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.

An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.

Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.

Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1143 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Low ceilings and reduced visibilities are starting to develop at
all central and southern terminals. Conditions will deteriorate to
IFR early in the period and remain there through mid morning with
the northern terminals remaining VFR. All sites are expected to be
MVFR as the period concludes. Winds are expected to be be
generally light and from the north in the wake of a weak frontal
boundary.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     36  53  31  46 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         38  53  34  49 /  10  20   0   0
Harrison AR       36  47  28  46 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    37  55  33  49 /  10   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  38  55  36  46 /   0  10   0   0
Monticello AR     41  55  38  49 /   0  30  10   0
Mount Ida AR      39  55  31  51 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  36  50  28  45 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        37  53  34  44 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     38  54  36  47 /   0  20  10   0
Russellville AR   37  55  32  49 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         34  55  33  46 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      37  53  36  46 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for ARZ004>008-014>017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-113-122-123-137-138-
140-141-213-222-223-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...56