176
FXUS64 KMAF 291111
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
511 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 507 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

- Strong cold front moving in late today to bring gap winds to
  the Guadalupe Mountains and much below normal temperatures along
  with a first freeze to many Sunday morning.

- Monday and Tuesday morning temperatures at or below freezing
  for many.

- Brief warmup midweek before another cold front moves through by
  the latter part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1252 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Low clouds and moisture have overspread the area once again tonight
as evidenced by dewpoints in the mid 50s and widespread low clouds.
This along with gusty south winds have kept temperatures mild and
mostly in the 50s. This will all change later today, but before that
happens we have one last warm one. Winds will veer to the west and
northwest later this morning helping to sweep low level moisture to
our east. Clouds will clear and with mostly sunny conditions
temperatures will climb into the 70s nearly areawide. A strong cold
front arrives late in the afternoon bringing chilly conditions the
rest of the weekend. Temperatures will drop to near freezing for
most locations north of I-10, with the central Permian Basin
expected to see their first freeze. Will keep the Freeze Watch
going, likely to be upgraded on the day shift today. Gusty winds
will make it feel much colder with wind chills Sunday morning into
the teens/20s. Strong northeast winds will develop behind the front
across the Guadalupe Mountains where gap winds will develop. The
High Wind Watch remains in effect with gusts up to 65 mph expected
overnight into Sunday morning.

Sunday is looking downright chilly with continued northeast winds
and cloudy skies keeping temperatures mostly in the 40s all day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 1252 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

We are on a bit of a roller coaster this week as far as temperatures
go. Expect a brief warmup through midweek, even with a weak cold
front moving through Monday night. Wednesday looks like the warmest
day of the week with highs in the 60s/70s. Another strong cold front
arrives Thursday knocking temperatures back below normal. A weak
shortwave traversing the area could spark a few showers with the NBM
keeping chances low (20%) for now during the day Thursday. Warmer
conditions return by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 507 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Dense fog has developed along the west side of lower cigs
affecting KCNM, KHOB, and possibly KPEQ. IFR continues at KMAF.
Winds have begun to veer to the southwest and will help scour out
clouds and fog by mid morning with all terminals returning to VFR.
Strong cold front still on track to arrive late afternoon
(29/22Z) with gusty northeast winds through the night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               73  29  42  31 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 73  32  48  27 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   79  41  50  38 /   0  10   0   0
Fort Stockton            76  36  48  36 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           63  32  43  33 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    71  27  43  24 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    69  28  53  28 /   0   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport     74  31  43  33 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   74  32  42  33 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     74  33  45  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Watch from this evening through Sunday morning for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

     Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for Loving-Reeves
     County Plains-Ward-Winkler.

     Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for Crane-
     Davis Mountains Foothills-Ector-Loving-Midland-Pecos-Reagan-
     Reeves County Plains-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

NM...High Wind Watch from this evening through Sunday morning for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM MST this morning for Central Lea-
     Eddy County Plains-Southern Lea.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29