943
FXUS64 KOHX 141633
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1033 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1026 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

- Quiet weather through the weekend, with temperatures warming
  into the low 70s.

- Rain enters the forecast next week with above normal
  temperatures continuing.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1026 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

There`s been plenty of sunshine across the area this morning and
temperatures have climbed into the 60s. High pressure is centered to
the east of us and southerly low level winds are starting to
increase. Temperatures this afternoon should top out in the 70s west
of the plateau. Surface winds will remain 5-10 mph overnight not
allowing decoupling of the boundary layer, so lows will only drop
into the 50s except for the coldest locations on the plateau. The
warm weather will continue on Saturday with highs 2-3 degrees
warmer than today.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1026 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

A cold front will move through the area Saturday night with a low
chance of a couple light showers in the east. The cold front will
knock temperatures back on Sunday with highs in the 60s instead
of the 70s. The good news is that there will be plenty of
sunshine. As we get into the next work week, we`ll be watching a
large trough digging into the southwest US. Ahead of that large
trough a weakening shortwave will eject through the central plains
increasing rain chances locally Monday night into Tuesday. After
that, there are timing discrepancies regarding the ejection of
the next wave of energy, but it looks like another round of
showers and storms mid to late in the week. Above normal
temperatures look like they`ll continue through the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 502 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

VFR conditions prevail. Southerly to southwesterly winds will be
light at around to less than 10 knots with just passing high
clouds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      75  55  77  56 /   0   0   0  10
Clarksville    75  56  76  53 /   0   0   0  10
Crossville     67  47  68  55 /   0   0   0  30
Columbia       75  53  76  58 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     69  50  71  56 /   0   0   0  20
Jamestown      67  50  68  53 /   0   0   0  30
Lawrenceburg   73  52  76  58 /   0   0   0  10
Murfreesboro   73  52  76  58 /   0   0   0  10
Waverly        72  55  75  53 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Clements