524
FXUS64 KOHX 141130
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
630 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 621 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

- Showers and thunderstorms return this weekend.

- Temperatures will be above normal through the week, peaking in
  the mid 80s on the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Tuesday brings another day of sunny and dry weather. Temperatures
warm back into the upper 70s to low 80s once again as of ridge of
high pressure remains just to the west. Wednesday will be much of
the same, with slightly warmer temperatures and dry weather.
Overnight lows remain in the 50s tonight and Wednesday night.
Winds look to be a bit stronger today as surface pressure
gradients increase through the afternoon. Not seeing much of a fog
threat tonight or Wednesday with the absents of calm winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

The dry and warm weather will continue through the end of the week
with warmest temperatures expected Friday and Saturday as highs
reach the mid to upper 80s. The weekend brings unsettle weather
back to the forecast. An upper trough swings through the Ohio
River Valley, bringing a line of showers and thunderstorms across
Middle TN. It is uncertain if we will see any severe storms at
this time. Models continue to shift with strength and placement of
storms between 12z runs. At this time, it looks like instability
will be lacking for any widespread severe threat, but will
continue to monitor as the weekend approaches. A cold front plows
through on Sunday bringing dry air and seasonal temperatures
through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

VFR conditions will continue this taf period. The only exception
will brief daybreak fog at SRB.

Otherwise, winds will be start light NE then increase near 10KT
with a few gusts around 16KT through the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      81  53  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    81  52  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     72  48  75  50 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       80  51  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     75  50  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      72  49  73  50 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   79  50  80  53 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   80  51  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        80  51  80  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....13