Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 201905
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
205 PM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A RATHER QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS IN STORE FOR MIDDLE TN OVER THE
NEXT WEEK. WE`LL FINISH OUT THE WEEKEND HOWEVER WITH A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION.
THIS FRONT IS QUICKLY APPROACHING FROM THE MIDWEST REGION...AND WILL
LIKELY REACH THE TN/KY BORDER SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT...A FEW SHOWERS COULD
POP UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT...BUT MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE ALONG
AND BEHIND THE FRONT. SO THINK OUR BEST CHC FOR SHOWERS/STORMS
TOMORROW WILL BE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. COULD HAVE A FEW SHOWERS
LAG INTO THE EVENING HOURS FROM THE UPPER TROUGH BUT NOT TOO
IMPRESSED WITH THE OVERALL MOISTURE FIELDS. THINK 50 POPS ARE TOO
HIGH SO HAVE TRIMMED THOSE BACK TO LOWER CHANCES.

ONCE THE FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH PUSH THROUGH THE MID STATE...UPPER
RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND KEEP US DRY THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK. NOT SURE WE COULD ASK FOR BETTER WEATHER FOR THE FIRST DAY OF
FALL AS MONDAY`S AFTERNOON HIGHS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE
INTO THE LOW 80S BY FRIDAY WITH COOL NIGHTS IN THE 50S CONTINUING. BY
NEXT WEEKEND...BOTH THE GFS AND EURO HAVE WEAK UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
NOSING INTO THE TN VALLEY FROM THE GULF COAST. ALTHOUGH THE DETAILS
BETWEEN THE TWO ARE QUITE DIFFERENT...WENT AHEAD AND INSERTED POPS
ACROSS THE SOUTH FOR SATURDAY GIVEN THE MODEL TRENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      69  84  56  73 /  10  30  10   0
CLARKSVILLE    65  83  53  71 /  20  30  10   0
CROSSVILLE     64  79  54  69 /  10  40  20   0
COLUMBIA       65  85  55  73 /  10  30  20   0
LAWRENCEBURG   66  85  56  74 /  10  40  20   0
WAVERLY        67  84  54  73 /  10  30  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

AL





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