Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 181137
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
637 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

.UPDATE...

12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...

SCT -SHRA CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE MID STATE ALTHOUGH MAINLY
SOUTH OF AREA AIRPORTS...SO WILL MENTION VCSH AT BNA/CSV THROUGH
18Z IN LINE WITH LATEST HRRR MODEL. VFR CIGS EXPECTED AT BNA/CSV
TODAY...WHILE CURRENT IFR CIGS/VIS AT CKV WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY
LATE MORNING. LIGHT SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

SHAMBURGER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 456 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS
SOUTH OF I-40. SOUTHERN MAURY AND MARSHALL COUNTIES APPEAR TO BE
EXPERIENCING THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THIS MORNING...WITH RADAR
ESTIMATING AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES AND MORE RAIN ON THE WAY. SHOWERS
APPEAR TO BE BACK BUILDING AND TRAINING OVER THE SAME
AREAS...FURTHER INCREASING THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING FOR
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. PWATS REMAIN AROUND 2 INCHES WITH
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. THE BULK OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL PUSH EAST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING...BUT MORE SHOWERS
WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
TUESDAY`S THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE MORE WIDELY
SCATTERED...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OVER THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY CONDITIONS BEGIN
TO DRY OUT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY. WILL
STILL CARRY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE PLATEAU
THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS EAST TENNESSEE REMAINS
UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW AND IS INFLUENCED BY AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST U.S.

THE MAIN STORY AFTER TODAY WILL BE OUR WARMING TREND WITH THE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING JUST TO OUR SOUTHWEST...TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO SOAR INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S AFTER TUESDAY.
APPARENT TEMPS COULD BE AROUND 100 DEGREES FOR THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WORK WEEK. WARM TEMPS AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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