Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 050555
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1155 PM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

It is a raw, cool evening across Middle TN. Radar is picking up on
some light reflectivities on the Cumberland Plateau. Otherwise, it
looks as though we are drying out temporarily. Dew point
depressions will still be low leading to some patchy fog for the
rest of the night and early in the daylight hours tomorrow. Hourly
temperatures are holding up a couple of degrees higher than
originally thought, so hourly temperatures were adjusted but
overnight lows were left alone. The rest of the overnight forecast
looks to be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Just no way around it, it looks like a little bit of improvement
in short term guidance as compared to what was expected prior to
05/00z, but not the best flying conditions expected still thru
06/06Z at terminals across the mid state region. With short term
ceiling and vsby fluctuations ranging from MVFR to LIFR
anticipated, several adms possible thru at least 05/18Z. With a
general continuance of an overrunning pattern in place across mid
state region, low level persistent cloudiness is expected, and
with so much low level moisture trapped below cloudiness, light
winds, and the continuation of favorable dewpoint depressions, fog
formation at all terminals will persist thru at least 05/16Z also.
Potential of light rainfall once again expected across our region
after 05/20Z. A more substantial chance of light rainfall is
expected after 06/00Z as deeper moisture moves into the mid state
region associated with western sfc gulf moisture system moves newd
into mid state region.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Reagan
AVIATION........31



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