National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 260653
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
153 AM CDT SUN MAY 26 2013

.DISCUSSION...
INFRARED CLOUD TOPS HAVE CONTINUED TO WARM WITH ACTIVITY ACROSS
CENTRAL/NORTHERN KENTUCKY AS IT SINKS SOUTHEASTWARD. ACTIVITY APPEARS
TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED ON EASTERN SIDE
OF UPPER RIDGE ALONG WITH A MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX OF 50 KNOTS THATS
PUNCHING DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AT 06Z. ALL OF THIS SLIDING
DOWN JUST AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT
THIS ACTIVITY TO CLIP MY UPPER CUMBERLAND COUNTIES IN THE OVERNIGHT
THEN PULL OFF THE PLATEAU AROUND 12Z OR 13Z. ONCE SHORT WAVE AND
SPEED MAX EXITS I DONT SEE MID STATE HAVING MUCH OF A CHANCE FOR
CONVECTION DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...AM THINKING OF GOING A VERY
LOW POP NEAR THE KENTUCKY BORDER FOR THE AFTERNOON AS WARM FRONT
WILL BE LURKING CLOSE BY. NOT LOOKING AT MUCH OF A CHANCE OF
ANYTHING SOUTH OF WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. WILL HAVE A SMALL POP
IN FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS FRONT WILL BE DOWN ACROSS THE MID
STATE BUT FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY MONDAY AND ALONG
THE OHIO RIVER BY 00Z TUESDAY. LEFT A SMALL POP IN PER DAYSHIFT
FORECAST FOR PLATEAU TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN AN AREA OF A LITTLE
DEEPER MOISTURE. BERMUDA HIGH STRENGTHENS TUESDAY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AND THIS FEATURE COUPLED WITH UPPER LEVEL HIGH
WILL KEEP THINGS DRY AND QUITE WARM. BY SUNDAY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AS UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND SURFACE
RIDGE RETREATS BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TO
THE MID STATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE IN THE 60S FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS ALL AREAS WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S MOST AREAS EXCEPT PLATEAU WHERE LOW
TO MID 80S WILL RULE.

BOYD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      84  61  87  64 /  10  20  20  10
CLARKSVILLE    82  61  85  63 /  20  20  20  10
CROSSVILLE     77  54  81  62 /  20  20  20  10
COLUMBIA       85  61  87  64 /  10  20  20  10
LAWRENCEBURG   85  59  86  65 /  10  20  20  10
WAVERLY        83  61  85  64 /  10  20  20  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$
BOYD
01

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