169
FXUS64 KSHV 261739
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1139 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1223 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

- Frontal passage overnight will reinforce dry and near-seasonal
  conditions through Thanksgiving.

- The next rounds of rain returns through this weekend into early
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1223 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Surface frontal passage has already started to occur tonight,
reinforcing temperature minimums in the 40s. Aloft, a relatively
active synoptic pattern continues with northwesterly flow behind
longwave troughing that will shift east over the Atlantic Ocean by
the end of the week. The next round of precipitation arrives after
Thanksgiving will be driven by troughs shifting across the
Intermountain West late on Friday and easing into zonal flow
across Oklahoma. The second trough will shift further south,
enhanced with more perturbations and Pacific moisture embedded in
the flow for precipitation. Temperatures after frontal passage on
Saturday will be cooler than normal (maximums in the 50s, minimums
in the 30s), however, the chance of any wintry precipitation for
our area very much remains near zero at this time with long-range
guidance suggesting an environment that is not cold enough. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

SKC prevails across the region at the beginning of this period
with occasionally gusty northerly winds. Winds will die down this
evening and stay near-calm overnight. Some VFR cigs look to
develop just before sunrise and lighten up by the conclusion of
the period. No fog concerns at this time due to the dry airmass
but we will monitor for any changes. /57/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1201 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  63  40  60  39 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  61  37  58  34 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  34  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  58  38  59  36 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  33  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  39  60  38 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  61  37  60  36 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  64  40  63  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...57