Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 020503
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID
80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.

NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN.  HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR
DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE
EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE
STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/
MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/



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