Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 311110
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
610 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon, mainly at KJCT, KSOA and KBBD. Coverage is expected to
be isolated enough to leave out a mention of thunder in the TAFs
at this time. Otherwise, light south winds and VFR conditions will
prevail through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The weak upper level low that aided in the development of shower
and thunderstorms activity yesterday afternoon is located across
the Texas Hill Country. The proximity of this feature to West
Central Texas will result in isolated showers and thunderstorms
this afternoon, mainly across the southeast corner of the forecast
area. Any convection that does develop will quickly dissipate
after sunset with the loss of daytime heating. Highs today will be
slightly warmer than what we saw yesterday, generally in the low
to mid 90s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

Very little change needed to the long term forecast. Overall
ridging will remain in place across most of the southern U. S.,
even extending into the Great Lakes and northeastern CONUS later
this week and into the weekend. A weak low/shear axis will be
trapped within the ridge along the TX and LA gulf coastal area,
but should remain too far east to result in any shower or
thunderstorm activity for our area, and in fact may actually aid
in keeping conditions hot and dry with weak subsidence on the
west side of this feature. Thus, have kept the forecast dry
through Sunday with temperatures generally warmer than normal with
highs mainly in the mid to upper 90s, and lows in the low to mid
70s.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  94  71  95  72 /   5   0   5   0
San Angelo  95  71  96  71 /   5   0   5   0
Junction  92  69  94  70 /  10   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels


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