Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KSJT 192314
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
514 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditiions at the terminals during the next 24 hours.
The winds will be west to southwest with gusts to near 30 knots
at the KABI and KSJT terminals Thursday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017/

SHORT TERM...
Surface low in the Panhandle will continue to bring breezy southwest
winds into Friday...particularly along and north of an Ozona...San
Angelo... Brownwood line. Winds will temporarily decrease early this
evening, but increase around 10 PM...as a 50 KT 850 MB low level jet
partially mixes to the ground. Mixing due to winds will bring more
mild conditions tonight with lows in the lower to mid 40s. Winds
will become breezy again mid morning Friday with highs in the lower
70s. Went closer to the GFS MOS highs give downslope southwesterly
winds.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)

Windy conditions will continue through the weekend. Shortwave
racing into the plains will close off across North Texas Saturday
night and move quickly east. The already tight pressure gradient
on Saturday will increase even more by Sunday, with the NAM and
GFS both forecasting 850 mb winds in excess of 65kts for a few
hours Saturday night and Sunday morning. Not all of this will mix
down to the surface, but windy conditions will certainly prevail.

Models still indicating the shortwave will bring a chance of
showers and perhaps a stray thunderstorm to the area, with the
best chances south across the I-10 corridor. Given the very fast
movement of the wave, its gonna be a one-shot rain chance with
drier conditions as early as Saturday evening. Dry for next week,
with temperatures generally near normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  45  70  44  69 /   0   0   5  20
San Angelo  44  72  42  71 /   0   0   5  30
Junction  43  76  43  74 /   0   5  10  20
Brownwood  43  73  42  72 /   0   5  10  20
Sweetwater  45  68  45  66 /   0   0   5  20
Ozona       41  70  42  70 /   0   0   5  30

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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