Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 211123

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
623 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016




Cold front has entirely passed through Middle Tennessee with still
a few light radar echoes showing up over the Cumberland Plateau. A
brisk northerly flow is advecting cooler, drier air into Middle
Tennessee with the clearing line now reaching into far western
TN/KY. Tonight we will see the coolest temperatures thus far this
autumn, as temperatures will drop into the upper 30`s to lower
40`s. Can`t completely rule out a few places getting some frost,
but won`t include this in the grids just yet as dew points will
remain several degrees above freezing. High pressure will build to
our south over the weekend, with return flow by Saturday or
Saturday night. Temperatures will warm back into the 70`s & 50`s
next week, but nothing like the summer-like temperatures we just
experienced. The GFS brings a weak cold front through the mid
state Wednesday night, but the bulk of the moisture will remain
north of Middle Tennessee and we won`t even see much of an air
mass change behind the front. So after this morning, the remainder
of the 7-day forecast is dry.



MVFR (KBNA/KCKV) and IFR (KCSV) flight conditions for the next
several hours at all 3 mid-state terminals. Categories will
improve back to VFR slowly from west to east as this latest system
pulls out of the region. KCSV will be the last to go VFR, with
cigs improving by 21Z.

North winds will be gusty today behind the front on the order of
18-22 kts. Winds will relax after dark tonight and remain





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