Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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519
FXUS64 KSHV 281713
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1213 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

.AVIATION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are affecting terminals
KTXK,KSHV, and KMLU resulting in IFR/MVFR/VFR ceilings through
the afternoon. These showers and thunderstorms will move out by
29/03Z which will lift ceilings to MVFR/VFR during the overnight
period. However, we could see ceiling lift earlier if redevelopment
doesn`t occur to our NE/W. Southerly winds 5 to 10 kts during the
day before becoming light and variable by 29/11Z on Friday, areas
that received rainfall could see fg/hz during the overnight hours.
/21/


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1107 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Heavy rain will be possible since precipitable water values show
over two inches /2.22/ from this mornings sounding. Have bumped up
the chance of rain for some locations and added heavy rain to much
of the region. Have issued a few urban and small stream flood advisories
this morning and for parts of North Central Louisiana a flash
flood warning with over two to near three inches. Also lowered the
high temperature for areas where the rains look to continue for
much of the day and with thick cloud cover. The Four State Region
will be in the bottom of an upper trough of low pressure between
two upper level ridges of high pressure/ one ridge center over
the Southwest U S and the other off the Florida, JGeorgia, and
South Carolina coast. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  95  76  96 /  20  30  10  30
MLU  74  93  74  94 /  30  30  20  30
DEQ  73  92  73  93 /  20  30  30  40
TXK  73  93  75  94 /  20  20  20  40
ELD  72  92  73  94 /  30  30  20  40
TYR  75  95  76  96 /  20  20  10  20
GGG  73  95  76  96 /  20  20  10  30
LFK  75  96  74  96 /  30  20  20  30

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

21/06



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