Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 080533 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1133 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

A COLD FRONT IS PUSHING SE THROUGH THE STATE...WITH SW WINDS
TRANSITIONING TO THE WEST AND NW BEHIND THE FRONT. BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL BE SEEN JUST BEHIND THIS FRONT OVERNIGHT...BUT EVEN STRONGER
WINDS WILL BE SEEN FOR MON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SOME
MVFR CIGS COULD BE SEEN AT NRN TERMINALS...AS WELL A FEW FLURRIES.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE FIRST OF TWO COLD FRONTS IS MOVING THROUGH ARKANSAS AT THIS
TIME. SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT AS IT
PASSES THROUGH TONIGHT. WEST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TONIGHT
AND WILL BE INCREASING TOWARD MORNING AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM APPROACHES. THE STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE MID DAY
MONDAY AND WILL BRING THE STRONGEST WINDS. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH WILL GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR MONDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE STATE NORTH TO
SOUTH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW IN THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS FOR MONDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MUCH COOLER MONDAY AND TUESDAY...IN THE 30S AND 40S.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE EXTENDED RANGE. SEVERAL WEAK SYSTEMS WILL
MOVE THROUGH...OFFERING VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIP CHANCES DUE
TO LACK OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN. A FRONT AT THE END OF THE
WEEK WILL BRING A SLIGHT REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR. LOOKS LIKE
THERE MAY BE A MORE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM AFFECT THE AREA JUST BEYOND
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     57  34  40  24 /   0  10  20  10
CAMDEN AR         64  37  48  29 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       55  32  37  22 /   0  10  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    59  35  45  27 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  35  45  27 /   0   0  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     62  38  48  28 /   0   0  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      61  34  44  27 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  55  33  38  23 /   0  10  20  10
NEWPORT AR        61  34  41  25 /   0  10  20  10
PINE BLUFF AR     59  36  46  27 /   0   0  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   57  33  44  26 /   0   0  10   0
SEARCY AR         59  33  43  25 /   0  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      59  34  45  27 /   0  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR ARKANSAS-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-
DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-
POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$


AVIATION...64


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