Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 201740 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.AVIATION...

OVERALL VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN TO NORTHERN AR
THIS AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE IN THE EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE SE
TO SW AT 5 TO 10 MPH.D TONIGHT...AREAS OF FOG WILL AGAIN FORM...WITH
SOME SPOTS SEEING DENSE FOG...MAINLY OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AR
AND IS RIVER VALLEY AREAS. EARLY SUNDAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
DRIFT SOUTH INTO AR...AND DEVELOP ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN AR FIRST...THEN CENTRAL LATER IN THE
MORNING TO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SW
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THEN SWITCH TO THE NW BEHIND THE FRONT.
ISOLATED MVFR CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH A THUNDERSTORM. (59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

MOSTLY CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
STATE. THIS...ALONG WITH MOSTLY CALM WINDS HAS ALLOWED FOR SOME FOG
TO DEVELOP...PARTICULARLY IN VALLEYS AND LOW AREAS. EXPECT THIS TO
DISSIPATE BY MID MORNING BEFORE PARTLY CLOUDY SKY CONDITIONS TAKE
OVER.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT TO THE EAST TODAY...PROVIDING
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
INTO THE 80S...WITH A FEW PLACES IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS MAKING IT INTO
THE LOWER 90S. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ABSENT FROM THE FORECAST FOR THE
MOST PART TODAY...THOUGH A FEW VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY
BE SEEN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.

CHANGES ARE STILL EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
STATE FROM THE NORTH. STILL EXPECTING A WARM UP IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT...SO MUCH OF THE STATE WILL SEE ANOTHER WARM DAY BEFORE COOLER
AND DRIER AIR FILTERS IN. RAIN CHANCES STILL APPEAR TO BE LESS THAN
PROMISING AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH...BUT SOME SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY BE SEEN THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. DRIER
AIR WILL QUICKLY FILTER IN IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. EXPECT MUCH
COOLER AIR FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE WORK WEEK...AS CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE
50S...ANOTHER TASTE OF FALL LIKE WEATHER.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

COOL AND DRY CONDS WL PREVAIL ACRS THE MID SOUTH THROUGH THE LATTER
HALF OF NEXT WEEK. A LARGE RDG OF HIGH PRES WL RMN SITUATED ACRS THE
ERN HALF OF THE NATION....WITH A RESULTING E/SELY WIND FLOW OVR AR.
TEMPS WL SLOLY MODERATE EACH DAY...BUT STILL RMN AT BLW NORMAL LVLS
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$








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