Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 300842
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
342 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level ridge remains in place this morning with moist low
level airmass persisting. Overall thunderstorm chances today
appear to be lower compared to Monday with slightly higher mid-
level heights and with less anticipated coverage, expect high
temps to be a few degrees hotter in most areas. Forecast highs for
today will be a bit higher than bended model guidance with heat
index values topping out around 100 degrees in many areas.

Thunderstorm chances will begin to increase Wednesday as an upper
level trough moving through the Great Lakes region drives a weak
cold front into the southern states. Despite this, mid level temps
will remain quite warm and thus storm coverage remains in question
despite approach of front. This front will continue to gradually
push south Thursday with best storm chances shifting south as
well. Drier air should begin to spread over the area by Thursday
night and Friday as surface high builds in from the northeast.
This will result in dry forecast through the holiday weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   94  72  89  70 /  20  20  50  30
FSM   94  73  93  73 /  20  10  30  20
MLC   94  71  93  71 /  20  10  30  30
BVO   92  70  87  67 /  30  30  50  20
FYV   90  69  86  68 /  20  20  50  20
BYV   90  69  85  67 /  20  20  50  20
MKO   94  71  91  70 /  20  20  40  20
MIO   92  70  87  67 /  20  30  50  20
F10   94  71  91  70 /  20  20  40  30
HHW   93  73  94  73 /  20  10  30  30

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....14


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