Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
965
FXUS64 KTSA 200939
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
339 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The full-latitude upper-level trough will continue to cross the
area over the next 24 hours. The current band of showers and
thunderstorms will slowly translate east today as individual
cells move quickly northward. Some redevelopment of showers is
possible behind the main band this afternoon. The back edge of
the precipitation should still be across western Arkansas and far
southeast Oklahoma at 00Z. Right now it appears the showers will
shift out of the area tonight, but it will be close as a mid-level
low center develops over southwest Arkansas tonight. This will
keep the back edge of the precipitation potential very close to
our forecast area through Tuesday. This upper-low will shift
southward to be over the Gulf of Mexico later in the week. This
system will inhibit moisture return ahead of a strong low pressure
system that will track just north of the area Thursday and
Friday. Temperatures Thursday could reach around 80F in parts of
the area as gusty southwest winds occur for a time with the
passage of the system. For now, we will hold off of any rain
chances with the system due to the lack of moisture. There is some
suggestion of another system at the end of this forecast period
that could offer additional precipitation chances late next
weekend or early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  47  75  46 /  90   0   0   0
FSM   68  54  75  47 / 100  10   0   0
MLC   67  50  73  46 /  90   0   0   0
BVO   71  43  75  41 /  70  10   0   0
FYV   66  49  71  42 /  90   0   0   0
BYV   67  51  72  45 /  80  20   0   0
MKO   67  48  73  45 / 100   0   0   0
MIO   68  47  73  45 /  80  10   0   0
F10   69  48  73  46 /  80   0   0   0
HHW   66  53  75  47 /  90  10  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....08



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.