Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 240934
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
334 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. A
COUPLE WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGES WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES OF THE SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY. BEYOND
THAT TIME...MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON A
WARMER SOLUTION...WITH MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL TEMPORARILY
BRING COOLER WEATHER SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO RETURN BY NEXT TUESDAY...JUST BEYOND
THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST. RAIN CHANCES ARE ALSO LIKELY TO
INCREASE BY THAT TIME AS STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS RETURN
GULF MOISTURE TO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM THAT IS
DUE IN AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WENT A BIT WARMER THAN GUIDANCE FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
BUT OTHERWISE STAYED CLOSE TO THE GUIDANCE NUMBERS THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  28  52  35 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   59  31  53  33 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   60  30  55  35 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   57  24  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   53  24  48  29 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   51  25  47  31 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   58  28  52  34 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   53  25  48  33 /   0   0   0   0
F10   59  29  53  34 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   62  32  58  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

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