Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 211724

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1224 PM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

Issued at 322 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2016

Cool temperatures are firmly in place this morning, with areas of
frost likely to soon form across northern Missouri where calm winds
and clear skies have allowed readings to fall into the middle 30s.
Only a slight warmup is expected today, with highs reaching the
upper 50s to lower 60s. As surface high pressure slides south to the
northern Gulf, southerly winds will return with temperatures warming
into the upper 60s to middle 70s over the weekend. A weak cold front
will pass through the forecast area on Sunday afternoon, with
slightly cooler temperatures expected on Monday as high pressure
influences our weather.

As the high shifts eastward, deeper moisture will advect back into
the area ahead of an upper wave on Tuesday. Sufficient forcing,
instability, and shear will exist for thunderstorms to develop along
a cold front Tuesday night. The current timing of the cold frontal
passage would place the greatest threat of strong to severe weather
west of the forecast area Tuesday afternoon. Dry weather follows in
behind the front on Wednesday, but temperatures will only slightly
cool thanks in part to the Pacific maritime origin of the upper


.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2016

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period as high pressure
remains in firm control of the local weather pattern. Southwest winds
of 5-10 kts this afternoon will calm this evening...before picking up
after 14z tomorrow. Marginal LLWS conditions will develop over area
terminals Saturday morning...however confidence this far out remains
too low for inclusion at this time.




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