Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 122349
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
649 PM CDT Wed Mar 12 2014
Issued at 321 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014
Northwest flow will prevail over the region through the next 5 to
perhaps 7 days. There is also a lack of any discernible/ strong
trough tracking through the flow to bring us any good chance of
precipitation or major cool down. Weaker systems will track through
the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes area but the brunt of any colder
air associated with these systems will bypass our area to the east.
This should allow for temperatures to be close to or above normal,
averaged through the next week, as low level flow will remain
primarily from the south to southwest, with the exception of a few
weaker fronts that move through, associated with any passing Upper
Midwest/ Great Lakes trough.
In the short term, temperatures will rebound nicely tomorrow as low
level flow will turn to the west and southwest, advecting warmer air
into the region. High temperatures should be able to climb into the
upper 60s Thursday, with some areas in the western and southwestern
portions of the forecast area pushing 70. Temperatures will be
closer to normal on Friday with a weak front cooling temperatures
back into the lower 60s. Similar conditions are expected Friday with
highs in the lower 60s across the area.
For the longer term, the next chance for any precipitation will come
Saturday night through the day Sunday. A weak upper trough and
associated front will move through the area, spreading mainly just
slight chances for rain and/or snow across mainly northern Missouri
as temperatures cool down Sunday morning. Temperatures Sunday will be
about 20 degrees cooler than Saturday. Even this cool down will be
short-lived as temperatures rebound Monday back to near seasonal
normals. The middle of next week will also be pushing mid to upper
60s degree readings as Spring makes its presence known with more
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 647 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014
VFR conditions expected through the rest of the aviation forecast.
Light W/SW winds will pick up mid day on Thursday to 10 to 15 kts.