Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
824 FXUS64 KBMX 100601 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 101 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 101 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025 A mid to upper-level trough axis will provide a focus for numerous showers and storms today and again on Friday. The highest rain chances will be focused near and south of I-20, where PWAT values are expected to exceed 2 inches. With westerly 500 mb flow of 15 to 20 knots, clusters of convection should have enough forward speed to limit the potential for localized flooding. 87/Grantham && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 101 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025 A mid-level ridge is expected to develop over the Deep South on Saturday and persist through Monday, which should result in diurnal convection becoming more scattered to isolated in nature. Rain chances could increase for Tuesday and Wednesday if the ridge breaks down in response to a westward moving disturbance as shown by the GFS and Canadian. 87/Grantham && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 101 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2025 VFR conditions should prevail through the early part of the TAF period, but showers and thunderstorms are expected to become numerous especially after 18Z, leading to temporary reductions in visibility and gusty winds. NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until further notice due to comms issues. 87/Grantham && .FIRE WEATHER... A moist summertime air mass will be in place through the foreseeable future with elevated rain chances through Friday and somewhat lower chances for the weekend. 20 foot winds should remain less than 8 mph from the west and southwest. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 88 69 89 69 / 60 30 60 20 Anniston 86 70 87 70 / 70 30 70 20 Birmingham 88 72 89 71 / 60 30 70 20 Tuscaloosa 88 72 89 72 / 70 30 70 20 Calera 87 72 87 71 / 70 30 70 20 Auburn 89 71 87 71 / 70 40 70 20 Montgomery 91 72 89 72 / 70 40 80 20 Troy 91 71 89 71 / 70 40 80 20 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87/Grantham LONG TERM....87/Grantham AVIATION...87/Grantham