Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 100213

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
913 PM EST Fri Dec 9 2016


Tonight...Surface winds will continue northerly as the center of
cold high pressure hangs back towards the Ohio and Tennessee
valleys. Winds in the 925-850 mb layer were already veering to the
northeast. However, drier air in the low-mid levels should inhibit
much Atlantic stratocumulus from pushing ashore except along the
Treasure Coast, where a scattering of showers noted just offshore
has been slowly diminishing. Eventually expect enough moistening
above the surface to allow for a few showers to come ashore mainly
south of Vero Beach.

With the stratocumulus clouds and a slight low level onshore wind
component, temps should hold steady or only fall a few degrees south
of Cape Canaveral, with lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Elsewhere,
high level cloudiness doesn`t look as extensive as last night and
should have little affect on min temps. Inland and along the north
coast, lows should be around 50, except in the mid-upper 40s
northwest of Interstate 4.

Have only made minor changes to the clouds and temps.


Mainly VFR.  Some stratocumulus ceilings above FL030 should occur
tonight from about KVRB-KSUA.  There is also a small chance for
showers there with local 5-6 SM -RA/BR.  Some stratocumulus ceilings
should expand inland and farther north during late Saturday morning
and into the afternoon afternoon, to about KTIX and KMCO/KISM.



Tonight-Saturday...No changes in model guidance.  Hazardous boating
conditions will continue as winds gradually veer to the northeast.
Speeds look to be 15-20 knots while seas range from 4-6 feet near
shore to around 7 feet in the Gulf Stream.  Winds may decrease to 15
knots in the north on Saturday due to the formation of a weak
coastal trough but choppy short period waves will necessitate an
exercise caution statement.


AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for Flagler Beach
     to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for Sebastian Inlet
     to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet
     20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-
     20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60



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