134
FNUS73 KMPX 141033
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Sakatah Lake Rx...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
533 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise to the lower 70s today and
RH will drop to around 35 percent. East winds around 10 mph
expected throughout the day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /55300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  51  52  55  60  62  66  68  70  71  72  72
RH..............67  68  69  64  55  52  45  43  41  38  37  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  18  16  16  15  15  15  15  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  16  16  16  16  15  15  14  14  13  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (53800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (75300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Kevin Berens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414080.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.berens@state.mn.us