Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 302038
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
338 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS CENTERED JUST TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD
SHIFT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WEAK AND NOT WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT HAS BEEN MOVING
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THE WINDS ARE LIGHT
AREA WIDE...BUT ARE GENERALLY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON WEST OF A JACKSBORO TO GOLDTHWAITE LINE.

THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL
BE ON FRIDAY...BUT WE ARE STILL JUST LOOKING AT 20 TO 30 PERCENT
POPS. BY SATURDAY...LOW CHANCES WILL JUST LINGER ACROSS THE ACROSS
AREAS WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
AREA BY TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
BECOMING UNDER NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR WEAK
DISTURBANCES TO MOVE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
FOR NOW...HAVE JUST PLACED SOME LOW POPS /20 PERCENTS/ ACROSS
THE EASTERN COUNTIES FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

58

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 624 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015/
/12Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EASTERLY WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL BE WEAK AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES AND WINDS ARE
CONCERNED. A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON SO
THERE MAY BE A BIGGER CU FIELD AROUND THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS
MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY BUT COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.

DUNN


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  82  98  77  97  77 /  10  30  20  10   5
WACO, TX              74 100  75 100  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
PARIS, TX             74  95  72  95  73 /  20  20  10   5   5
DENTON, TX            79  96  74  95  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
MCKINNEY, TX          76  97  73  96  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
DALLAS, TX            80  98  78  97  78 /  10  30  20  10   5
TERRELL, TX           77  98  73  98  74 /  10  30  10   5   0
CORSICANA, TX         78  99  73  98  74 /  10  30  10   5   0
TEMPLE, TX            74 100  74  99  74 /  10  30  20  10   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     72  98  74  96  74 /  10  30  30  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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