Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 020915
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
415 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

THE GIST OF THE SHORT TERM IS SOME SCATTERED STORMS
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT ONWARD.

WILL HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH COVERAGE GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE STATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SPEED SHEAR AND
ELEVATED INSTABILITY TO CONTINUE TO FAVOR SOME SEVERE STORMS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE STATE THROUGH MID
MORNING. THIS CONVECTION WILL BE ELEVATED FOR THE MOST PART SO
THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER STRONG STORMS
OVERNIGHT DID PRODUCE SOME WIND DAMAGE DOWN NEAR EL DORADO SO IT
WOULD NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION TO SEE SOME DAMAGING WINDS WITH
ANY SEVERE STORM.

RAIN CHANCES WILL COME TO AN END TONIGHT...LEAVING THE REMAINDER
OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD DRY.

&&

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ARKANSAS
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD ON WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED...
SO NO PRECIPITATION IS MENTIONED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT.

FROM THERE...A BLOCKING PATTERN WILL SET UP...WITH A DEEP
TROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES...RIDGING AROUND HERE...
AND ANOTHER BIG TROUGH OUT WEST. BECAUSE WE WILL BE IN-BETWEEN
SYSTEMS...IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL STAY DRY LOCALLY THROUGH
AT LEAST SATURDAY.

EVENTUALLY...THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST WILL WOBBLE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SOME RAIN BY SUNDAY. GIVEN THIS...ADDED ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES...READINGS WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL AS THE
PERIOD BEGINS...WITH READINGS GOING AT/ABOVE NORMAL AS THE PERIOD
PROGRESSES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     69  49  69  51 /  40   0  10   0
CAMDEN AR         72  53  73  52 /  50  10   0   0
HARRISON AR       64  43  67  48 /  20   0  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    74  51  72  51 /  40   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  53  71  53 /  40   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     70  55  71  52 /  60  20  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      72  48  71  49 /  30   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  67  46  69  49 /  20   0  10   0
NEWPORT AR        70  51  70  51 /  40   0  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     69  54  71  52 /  50  10   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   72  48  71  49 /  20   0  10   0
SEARCY AR         70  51  70  50 /  40   0  10   0
STUTTGART AR      70  55  70  52 /  50  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...64 / LONG TERM...46


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.