Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 232317
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
617 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms have persisted over the
Cumberland Plateau this afternoon. The rest of Middle Tennessee
has seen a pleasant but warm day with temperatures rising into the
low 90s in some areas with most places in the upper 80s. Expect
to see some isolated showers and storms continue into the early
evening tonight, then die off close to sunset. We could see some
patchy fog develop overnight tonight especially in areas that saw
rain today.

Rain chances will increase again tomorrow morning and afternoon
over mainly southern and western counties. Could see similar
spotty storms like we`ve seen today. Temperatures should climb in
to the upper 80s again across much of the area. The weather going
into the work week looks to be dry and warm. The threat of
isolated showers and storms stays west of the Mississippi River
Valley through at least Wednesday.

We`re still on track to see a frontal passage sometime Wednesday
or Thursday. It looks like models are trending drier and drier
with the front, so we may only see an increase in clouds and a
switch to a northerly wind with no precip. Temperatures should
respond to the changing airmass on Thursday. Currently
forecasting temperatures near 80 degrees around Nashville with
mid 70s along the Plateau in the afternoon. Thursday afternoon
will be our best chance for rain and thunderstorms in the extended
portion of the forecast, but it looks like only isolated precip
is expected. Temperatures will cool into the low to mid 70s as we
head into next weekend and another passing upper low over the
Great Lakes Region reinforces the cooler air mass over the eastern
U.S.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

While there are a few showers and thunderstorms around Middle TN
at issuance, none are affecting our terminals. Will maintain VFR
conditions until after 06Z when fog will begin to develop once
again. Will focus MVFR and a couple hours IFR fog at
KCKV/KMQY/KCSV prior to sunrise.

Winds will be calm overnight and be light from the southeast on
Sunday.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......11
AVIATION........Unger



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