Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 212343 AAA
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
643 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
&&

.AVIATION...00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
WITH PREDOMINANT SFC/ALOFT RIDGING INFLUENCES ACROSS MID STATE THRU
22/24Z...VFR/SKC CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH MAINLY LIGHT SFC N TO
NE WINDS. ONLY EXPECTION TO THIS WILL BE TEMPO LOW END MVFR TO
HIGH END IFR FOG INDUCED VSBYS AT CKV/CSV PER CURRENT AND EXPECTED
DEWPOINT DEPRESSION TRENDS AND TYPICAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE POOLING
POTENTIAL 22/09Z-22/13Z.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 158 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014/

DISCUSSION...

BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE MID STATE WITH TEMPS A LITTLE WARMER THAN
EARLIER THINKING IN THE MID 60S PLATEAU TO LOW 70S WEST. SOME
STRATOCU NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IN THE UPPER CUMBERLAND...AND
A BIT OF THIS CLOUD COVER COULD LINGER INTO TONIGHT AS MODELS
DEPICT. UNLIKE THIS MORNING...NOT ANTICIPATING ANY WIDESPREAD OR
SIGNIFICANT FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT AS LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL ALLOW
TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S AREAWIDE.

FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND CONTINUES TO LOOK SPECTACULAR WITH
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IN STORE.
THURSDAY MORNING LOOKS LIKE THE COOLEST MIN TEMPS THIS FORECAST
PERIOD AND COULD SEE A BIT OF PATCHY FROST ESPECIALLY EASTERN
ZONES WHERE LOWS FALL INTO THE MID 30S. HIGHS WILL REACH THE 70S
BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE WARMING TO NEAR 80 BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS
AN H5 RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. 12Z GFS/ECMWF CONTINUE TO SHOW A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS
AROUND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN ALTHOUGH ONLY LOW POPS LOOK WARRANTED AT THIS POINT.
&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&
$$
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