Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 311732
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1232 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Fairly quiet so far this morning. Mainly high clouds will slowly
be on the increase as we move into the early afternoon hours. A
decaying shortwave will bring a small chance at a shower or
thunderstorm into our western counties. The upper level ridge is
going to have a major role in continuing to weaken these showers
as they move in, so I`m not expecting much in the way of rainfall
totals or intensity, but PoPs will increase a bit later this
afternoon, especially west of I-65. Made some small tweaks in PoPs
to account for this possibility and tweaked hourly temperatures
just a bit. Otherwise, forecast is on track with everybody well on
their way to the mid to upper 80s this afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR flight rules. There is a very, very small chance that light
rain gets to KCKV or KBNA this afternoon, but cig bases should be
VFR and the rain likely wouldn`t be heavy enough to reduce vis.
Winds will be mainly light and variable throughout the cycle.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION......Unger



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