Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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FNUS73 KMPX 091236
FWSMPX
Spot Forecast for Manuever lanes...MN DMA
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
736 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny skies are expected throughout the day
today with no precipitation expected. Winds will come from the northeast
at around 10 mph, gusting to around 15 mph, with RH values bottoming
out between 30-35 percent.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........59 at ignition...Max 65.
RH..................45 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 10 mph at
ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 8 to 10
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /42400 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /88000 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7300 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 14 mph shifting to the north
around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth at ignition...max 4.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59 62 63 64 64 65 64 63 60 56 53 52
RH..............45 41 38 35 37 34 34 35 41 49 57 59
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE N N N N NE E SE S
20 FT wind spd..10 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 5 3 3 5
20 FT wind gust.15 15 14 14 15 14 13 12 9 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.8 6.6 7.1 7.3 7.3 6.6 4.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE NE N N N N N N NE E S S
Transp wind spd.13 14 14 14 14 14 13 9 6 6 6 9
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph
late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (72800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (3100 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 13 mph shifting to the east around 6
mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
south 6 to 12 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Isolated thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
northwest 10 to 16 mph late in the morning.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (77200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (142600
knot-ft) early in the afternoon, then
decreasing to excellent (79700 knot-ft) late in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
12 to 20 mph late in the morning, then
increasing to 21 to 26 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
$$
Forecaster...Calderone
Requested by...Jason linkert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413592.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.d.linkert.nfg@army.mil