Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 281125
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
625 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 304 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016/

Skies are cloudy over much of the forecast area early this
morning with temperatures ranging from the mid 60s to mid 70s.
Some areas of dense fog have begun to develop mainly over northern
sections of the forecast area and a Dense Fog Advisory will be
issued for these areas which will expire at 9:00 am this morning.

Currently, a cold front extends from Western New York through
central Indiana and into east central Colorado. This front will
drop south today and move into the forecast area. As it does some
thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the front this
afternoon over portions of north Mississippi. Temperatures will be
a couple of degrees cooler than Monday with highs in the upper 80s
to lower 90s.

By tonight, the cold front will be moving through north
Mississippi with the threat of thunderstorms ending. High pressure
will start to build into the upper Mississippi Valley bringing
drier and somewhat cooler air into the region. Temperatures
tonight will be a few degrees cooler with lows Wednesday morning
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Wednesday and Thursday will remain
dry and somewhat cooler with highs both days in the mid 80s to
lower 90s.

By Thursday night, the weather pattern becomes unsettled again as
the cold front returns back north into the forecast area and
stalls out. This stalled out front will provide a boundary so
thunderstorms to develop. The front is expected to remain over the
region from Friday through Monday. As a result, there will be a
chance of thunderstorms throughout the entire holiday weekend.
Temperatures will remain pretty close to normal levels for much of
the period.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conds will prevail through the period at KJBR. At the other
sites LIFR/IFR conds will give way to VFR conds later this
morning as drier air filters into the region. Generally NE winds
will increase to 7-10 kts this morning and then diminish to 5 kts
or less after sunset.

SJM

&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for Clay-
     Craighead-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Poinsett-Randolph.

MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for Dunklin-
     Pemiscot.

MS...None.
TN...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for Benton TN-
     Carroll-Crockett-Decatur-Dyer-Gibson-Haywood-Henderson-
     Henry-Lake-Lauderdale-Madison-Obion-Tipton-Weakley.

&&

$$


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