Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

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000
FXUS63 KLOT 160457
AFDLOT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
1157 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...
217 PM CDT

Through Saturday...

No significant weather is expected through the period. Expect
southerly winds and warm temperatures to continue across the area
on Saturday. High temperatures into the mid 80s is expected area-
wide under mainly sunny skies.

KJB

&&

.LONG TERM...
127 PM CDT

Saturday night through Friday...

After a period of relatively quiet weather, the southern stream will
become more unsettled as the high amplitude long wave upper level
pattern trends toward more zonal flow.  By Saturday night, the upper
trough over the west will move out over the central plains.  The
parent upper low over the Canadian Rockies will also progress east,
helping to break down the upper ridge over the east. Temperatures
will trend closer to more seasonable levels of upper 70s to lower
80s by Sunday. As the upper level pattern trends to more zonal, a
more active southern stream will set up with a series of weak
shortwaves rippling through the fast wswly-wly flow aloft brings
periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms for much of next
week.  The longer range guidance is coming into decent agreement on
a stronger shortwave impacting the region Monday evening, so have
increased PoPs to likely for that time.  Otherwise, keep periodic
slight chance to chance PoPs through much of the longer term
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
For the 06Z TAFs...

South winds and VFR conditions continue throughout the TAF period
as the local area remains on the western periphery of high
pressure. Winds are expected to increase to around 10 kt mid
morning and continue through the day Saturday, then ease back
below 10 kt after sunset. Expect mid level cloud cover to
increase late in the 30 hour ORD TAF as a cold front approaches
the Mississippi Valley Sunday morning.

BMD

&&

.MARINE...
130 PM CDT

High pressure will remain in place over the eastern CONUS through
the weekend and the early part of next week while low pressure
deepens over the central plains. This will result in persistent,
generally southerly winds over Lake Michigan. The low will lift
through the Upper Midwest to Hudson Bay Sunday night while a
trailing cold front pushes across Lake Michigan, turning winds to
north to northeast on Monday. High pressure will then build over
the upper Great Lakes Monday. Another low will develop over the
central plains by midweek allowing winds to veer to the south to
southeast.

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
IN...None.
LM...None.
&&

$$

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