Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FXUS63 KMKX 020947
AFDMKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
347 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...COMING SOON. SEE THE HEADLINE SECTION NEAR THE
BOTTOME FOR CHANGES IN THE WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

BY WED MORNING THE 500 MB UPPER TROUGH WILL BE NEAR THE MS RIVER
WHILE A 996 MB SFC LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL BE LOCATED OVER SE WI.
THE UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE AND SFC-850 MB FRONTOGENESIS WILL BRING
LGT SNOW TO MUCH OF SRN WI WITH 1-2 INCHES OF ACCUM OVER THE NRN
CWA AND MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL WI...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS IN SE WI.
THE PCPN TYPE WILL STILL BE INITIALLY RAIN IN FAR ERN WI BUT CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW BY THE MIDDLE TO LATE MORNING HOURS AS THE COLD
ADVECTION INCREASES ON BRISK NWLY SFC WINDS. SFC TEMPS WILL VERY
GRADUALLY FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

FOR WED NT SOME UNCERTAINTY ON WHETHER STRATOCUMULUS FIELD WILL
BECOME FEW-SCT OR REMAIN BROKEN. A WEAK SFC RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL WI BY THU MORNING. ACCOUNTED FOR SOME CLEARING
MAINLY IN THE FAR WRN CWA WITH UPPER SINGLE DIGIT LOWS WITH TEENS
ELSEWHERE. FOR THU-THU NT A COUPLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL PASS
WITH THE FIRST EXPECTED TO BE DRY WHILE THE 2ND ONE IS A DIGGING
VORT MAX FOR THU AFT AND EVE. THERE WILL BE A VERY WEAK SFC TROUGH
WITH THIS FEATURE ALTHOUGH OVERALL LIFT IS VERY WEAK. THUS WENT
WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THU NT AS OF NOW. ANOTHER WEAK SFC
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD ACROSS SRN WI ON FRI. AFTER MILD TEMPS
INTO WED MORNING...SFC TEMPS WILL RETURN TO MORE NORMAL CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRI.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

A WEAK SFC TROUGH WILL PASS FRI NT FROM LOW PRESSURE PASSING
ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR SAT. SLIGHT CHANCES OF SNOW IS FORECAST FRI
NT INTO SAT MORNING FOR THE FAR NRN CWA. A LARGE AND FAIRLY STRONG
SFC LOW WILL THEN TRACK ALONG THE US AND CANADIAN BORDER FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK. SWLY WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION WILL BOOST HIGH TEMPS
INTO THE 30S WITH COOLING AFTERWARD. ONLY SMALL POPS FOR LGT SNOW
ARE FORECAST DURING THIS TIME.


&&

.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...COMING SOON.

&&

.MARINE...COMING SOON.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR WIZ067-
     068.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR WIZ046-047-056-057.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR WIZ062.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR WIZ051-052-058-063.

LM...GALE WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     LMZ643>646.

&&

$$

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...REM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...GEHRING


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