Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 242131
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
330 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHOT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A BROAD LARGE TROUGH OVER THE
REGION...WHICH WAS PROVIDING BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT TO THE EAST. IMAGERY ALSO SHOWED MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
REFLECTING THE JET ENERGY AROUND THE UPPER TROUGH. READINGS AT
AFTERNOON WERE MAINLY IN THE 60S WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH OF THE SHORT TERM.
A SHORT WAVE WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF MAY GIVE
THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY EVENING WHICH
WILL EXIT EAST BY MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL WILL BE VERY LIGHT WITH THE
DRYER AIR IN PLACE. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT WHICH...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF  SOME CLOUD COVER
...WOULD MAKE FOR THE COLDEST NIGHT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WITH
MOISTURE RETURN BEING CONFINED TO NORTH OF THE REGION ALONG WITH THE
BEST SHORTWAVE ENERGY...WHERE THE BEST CLOUD COVER WILL BE.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERN WENT CLOSE TO ALLBLEND MODEL WITH SLIGHT
MODIFICATIONS WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES. ON POPS WENT CLOSE TO LOW
RAWBLEND POPS FOR TUESDAY EVENING./17/


LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)...QUIET WEATHER IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD.   HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION BRINGING ANOTHER
PUSH OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR JUST IN TIME FOR THANKSGIVING.

THIS SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF US ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTER BEGINS TO BECOME MORE ZONAL OVER THE WEEKEND.  MOISTURE WILL
SUBTLY RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND FOLLOWING SUIT.  A WEAK FRONT IS CURRENTLY PROGGED TO
SINK SOUTH AND EVENTUALLY HANG-UP OVER THE MID-SOUTH REGION LATE IN
THE WEEKEND.  THIS COULD BRING SOME SMALL RAIN CHANCES TO THE REGION
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. /17/19/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AREAWIDE THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTN WL BECOME LIGHTER BY THIS
EVNG. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       35  57  35  62 /   2   5   6   3
MERIDIAN      34  57  33  61 /   3   5  13   6
VICKSBURG     34  57  32  64 /   2   3   3   1
HATTIESBURG   43  59  34  63 /   3  10  17   5
NATCHEZ       36  57  36  64 /   3   5   5   1
GREENVILLE    35  55  35  60 /   2   2   2   2
GREENWOOD     33  54  33  60 /   2   3   2   3

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

17/22/DL











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