Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 161802

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1202 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017




After a cold start early this morning when most areas dipped well
down into the 20`s, sunny skies and southwest breezes are helping
things warm up quickly across the mid state by 17Z. In fact, the
only (tiny) change to the morning forecast package will be to add
1-2 degrees to today`s max temps, especially across the south
half of the region as temps have already climbed into the
mid/upper 40s.

Latest guidance still depicts a decent chance for mostly light
rain amounts late tonight and tomorrow. Rain chances will
increase very late tonight in the western counties then spread
eastward most of Sunday morning.



An upper level high pressure ridge will move from west to east
across TN this afternoon and tonight. So, expect VFR conditions
to continue at each TAF site the rest of today as well as tonight
with mainly cirrus clouds over the region. South and southwest
breezes will be just a tad gusty this afternoon but will
diminish before 00Z.

Rain chances will increase quickly early Sunday morning as a
weakening trough moves out of TX and toward the MS/OH Valley
region. Although the showers should last only a few hours and
remain fairly light, ceilings and visibilities should drop to MVFR
at each site. Rain chances should end by 18Z Sunday.





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