Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 231923
AFDPIH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
123 PM MDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will produce dry and cool conditions
headed into the weekend. As the high shifts east, expect warmer
temps to return with the southerly flow. A cold front will
approach the region Monday Night. GFS shows quite a bit of
convection across the high country during the nighttime period as
the front moves through the region. The European doesn`t show
nearly as much. It`s a fairly strong front, so think there should
be at least a few storms. But the models have been somewhat
inconsistent in handling convection with this feature so
confidence is low at this point. Both models show a low developing
across the high plains for late week, We may catch enough
moisture in the northwest flow associated with the low to trigger
a few showers and thunderstorms for Wednesday and Thursday. But,
once again, models are somewhat inconsistent and confidence
remains low at this point. Could very easily stay dry during this
time.

Valle

&&

.AVIATION...Expect continued clear skies with light winds through
Saturday.
GK

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Expect mainly dry conditions over the weekend with
continued warming with temperatures well above normal by Sunday with
minimum humidity in the 10 to 20 percent range.   Expect hot
conditions Monday with dry conditions and minimum humidity again 10
to 20 percent.  There will be an increased thunderstorm chance
Monday evening through Tuesday.  A cold front will move through
Monday night and expect much windier conditions Tuesday with much
cooler temperatures again moving into the district with about a 10
degree drop or so from Monday. The remainder of next week should be
generally cool and dry with diminishing winds after the likely windy
conditions Tuesday.
GK

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Most streams and rivers across the central Idaho
mountains and the Teton river have crested. The cooler temps have
slowed snowmelt and we expect rivers to fall through the weekend.
Warm weather is expected once again for Sunday and Monday. Higher
flows will be possible again early to mid week.

Valle

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$



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