


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
492 FXUS66 KSGX 292047 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 147 PM PDT Sun Jun 29 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Continued hot inland today and tomorrow, with daytime high temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages. A shallow marine layer will continue to moderate temperatures near the coast, with low clouds and fog extending 10 to 15 miles inland during the nights and mornings. Temperatures begin to trend downward on Tuesday west of the mountains then the mountains and deserts follow suit for Wednesday through next weekend. During this time, the marine layer deepens somewhat, extending its influence farther inland. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... This afternoon...Skies are mostly sunny except for a few marine layer low clouds at the beaches. Some cumulus clouds have formed over the mountains and drifted over the deserts in the south southwest flow aloft. These cumulus clouds show very little vertical extent as they encounter a strong subsidence inversion above 10,000 ft. The southerly flow over SoCal is due to the prevailing pattern, with an upper level high centered near the AZ/NM state line and an upper level low centered about 440 miles west of San Diego. This pattern will remain in place through mid-week and continue to bring us hot days for inland areas. For today and Monday, we can expect temperatures reaching the upper 80s to low 90s in the San Diego county valleys and the mid to upper 90s for the Inland Empire, while the high deserts will see temps in the mid to upper 90s and lower deserts 105-110. Sometimes, a pattern like this can bring the threat of afternoon convection to the mtns and deserts but current model solutions don`t show the moisture and instability that would be required for a significant threat of deep convection. For Tuesday and Wednesday, the upper low to our west strengthens and slowly moves east over SoCal. This will likely result in a deeper marine layer and stronger onshore flow, bringing low clouds and fog farther inland during the nights and mornings and lowering temperatures west of the mtns on Tuesday. By Wed, the falling heights and cooler air associated with the low will begin to affect the deserts as well. On Wed, we can expect daytime high temps ranging from 3-4 degrees above normal in the low deserts to 3-5 degrees below normal west of the mtns. For the rest of the week into next weekend, conditions remain similar with minor day-to-day variations as a pattern of weak troughing sets up over the west coast. The details of the forecast are uncertain due to the spread in model solutions but it seems likely that conditions will remain dry and temperatures will remain near or slightly below seasonal averages. && .AVIATION... 292045Z....Coast/Valleys...Low clouds have cleared nicely this afternoon, with only a few clouds in the vicinity of KSAN. VFR prevails through this evening with low clouds expected reform offshore by 02-06z this evening and eventually push back onto the coast around 06-09z Monday. Similar bases and inland extent expected as what was seen this morning, about 600-1000ft MSL with about 10-15 miles inland. VIS restrictions limited to localized inland valleys and where clouds intersect higher terrain. Scattering back to the coasts by 16-17z Monday morning. .Mountains/Deserts...SW/W wind gusts 25-35 kts have picked up across the deserts and mountain passes this afternoon, leading to periods of MOD UDDFS just east of the mountains. Winds weaken after 05z Monday. Otherwise, VFR conditions prevail through Monday afternoon. && .MARINE... No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Friday. && .SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...None. PZ...None. && $$ PUBLIC...PG AVIATION/MARINE...Munyan