Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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835
FXUS64 KSJT 112309
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
509 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

The surface front is located near a KSJT-KBBD line as of 23z and
is expected to sag slowly south overnight. However, wind speeds
will generally remain under 6 kts, becoming variable after sunset.
Northeast winds will increase to 6-8 kts by late morning Friday.
Other than a few high clouds this evening, skies will be mostly
clear through the TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 336 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Quiet weather will continue the next 24 hours, with above normal
temperatures expected again on Friday. For tonight, clear skies,
light winds and a dry airmass will allow temperatures to fall into
the 30s areawide by day break Friday. Northwest flow aloft will
remain over the Southern Plains through the short term period,
with a surface ridge building in from the north on Friday. This
will reinforce light northeasterly surface winds during the day,
with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 60s across the Big
Country, to the lower and middle 70s elsewhere. Skies will remain
clear through the period.

LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through Thursday)

Looks like the dry weather will continue through the long term
period. Also, temperatures will mainly be above normal, by as much
as 15 to 20 degrees for highs, especially middle of next week.
An upper level northwest to west-northwest flow pattern will
dominate through the next 7 days, with a ridge over the Southern
Plains by next Thursday. One decent upper level short wave will
move southeast(ECMWF most intense with this system) early next
week just east of our area. As a result, any chance of rain will
remain east of West Central Texas. As for temperatures, highs will
be mainly in the 70s, with some lower 80s on Wednesday and
Thursday. The coolest days will be Saturday and Monday, with 60s
across the Big Country. Lows will mainly be in the 40s, with a few
30s Friday night. Also, gusty to south to southwest winds Sunday,
then a weak cold front moves through Monday and possible gusty
north winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  37  69  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  36  76  38  72 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  29  76  38  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

Johnson



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