Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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518
FXUS64 KMAF 290515
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1215 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF issuance.

No aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will
prevail at all terminals. The last bit of activity has pretty much
diminished and all is expected to remain quiet overnight. Otherwise,
gusty SE winds expected Friday afternoon most locations.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 123 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016/

Deep easterly mid level flow is expected through Saturday between
an upper level ridge centered in the Rockies and a westward moving
disturbance in central Mexico. Very intense heating and upslope
flow should spark, mainly diurnally driven, isolated to widely
scattered thunderstorms in and near the orographically favored
mountains, mainly each afternoon and evening. High temperatures
are expected to remain above normal values as 850 millibar
temperatures warm a couple of degrees, despite the deep easterly
flow.

By late Sunday through next Thursday guidance consensus is
indicating that the upper level ridge will shift eastward toward
the Plains and Mississippi Valley Region with weak upper level
weakness developing in the Rockies. This should allow
temperatures to remain above normal with the best chance of
convection remaining across western areas from the Guadalupe and
Davis Mountains eastward to the southeast New Plains and upper
Trans Pecos Region of west Texas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     73  97  74  98 /   0  10  10   0
Carlsbad                       71  97  72  98 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         76  97  75  98 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  73  95  74  97 /   0  10  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 67  88  68  88 /  10  20  20  20
Hobbs                          69  94  69  96 /  10  10  10  10
Marfa                          65  89  66  89 /  10  20  10  30
Midland Intl Airport           73  98  75  99 /   0  10  10   0
Odessa                         75  96  75  98 /   0  10  10  10
Wink                           74  97  74  99 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

27/72



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