Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 242216
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
416 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at the west Texas and southeast New
Mexico terminals the next 24 hours under mostly clear skies. Cold
front is expected to move south through the region tonight and be
through KHOB by 25/08z to KFST shortly after 25/12z. Southwest
winds will become northwest behind the front with a few gusts
around 20 knots Saturday morning.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 128 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge centered west of Baja this morning will remain in
place through the weekend.  Early next week an upper trough will
move ashore the west coast swing east and displace the ridge.  This
trough will cross the Rockies early Tuesday moving across the plains
overnight.  A stronger trough will move down out of the NW on
Wednesday and cross the Great Basin early Thursday before swinging
across NM on Friday.

Still expecting record high temps today but looking at a weak cold
front moving through early tomorrow. Should only be sightly cooler
behind it.  Saturday highs will still be above normal and mostly in
the 70s.  Get a slow warm up Sunday into early next week staying
mainly in the 70s with some 80s.  The next front should blow into
the area Tuesday afternoon knocking temps down into the 60s
Wednesday and thursday before another front late week pushes highs
down into the 50s.

With dry airmass not expecting any precipitation for the coming week.

FIRE WEATHER...
Well above normal temperatures today along with gusty southwest
winds have resulted in elevated to near critical fire weather
conditions across portions of the Guadalupe Mountains. A Fire Danger
Statement remains in effect for the Guadalupe Mountains through the
remainder of this afternoon, with conditions expected to improve
this evening as winds decrease, and overnight, as a cold front moves
through the region. While gusty northerly to northeasterly winds are
expected in the wake of the front Saturday, elevated RHs will
preclude additional fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     48  70  40  70 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       47  70  40  71 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         50  77  44  72 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  50  72  43  74 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 47  66  44  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          44  68  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          40  72  33  70 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           48  71  40  71 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         48  71  41  71 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           48  73  38  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

84/99


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