Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 220752
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
252 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION WILL STEER CURRENT CONVECTION NORTH OF
THE OHIO RIVER AND DOWN EAST SIDE OF RIDGE THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY
AS WE GO THROUGH THE DAY. I`VE GOT A SMALL POP IN FOR EASTERN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE AND UPPER CUMBERLAND FOR THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER RIDGE
AXIS SHARPENS UP THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY AND THIS WILL PULL BACK CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE EASTERN PERIPHERY
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WHICH MEANS AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
BASICALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 24 SATURDAY INTO MONDAY. IN ADDITION
A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT WILL TRY AND WORK INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE
DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AND THIS WILL PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL
FOCUS. HOT HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT WEEK WITH TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICIES WEST OF INTERSTATE
65 THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER A GOOD PART OF THE MID STATE SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. GFS SHOWS UPPER RIDGE GETTING REPLACED BY UPPER TROUGH
TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK BUT EURO HAS OTHER IDEAS AND
HOLDS ONTO UPPER RIDGE INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      95  75  97  76 /  10  10  20  20
CLARKSVILLE    95  75  97  71 /  10  10  10  20
CROSSVILLE     89  70  91  69 /  20  20  20  30
COLUMBIA       96  74  97  75 /  10  10  05  20
LAWRENCEBURG   96  72  97  72 /  10  05   0  10
WAVERLY        95  75  97  73 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
BOYD
01




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