Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 280051
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
751 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR EVENING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

With minimal instability, storms are having a tough time
sustaining themselves this evening. There are a few sources of
lift floating around the mid-state, including one outflow boundary
oriented north-south from Tullahoma northward to Scottsville, KY,
that are helping to initiate scattered thunderstorms, but without
the sustaining instability or any shear to speak of, they will
continue to be weak and short lived. All convection should wane
over the next hour or two as we lose the rest of the day`s
heating. Otherwise, some (eventually) light showers currently over
the MS River could trickle into our far-western zones prior to
midnight and this should be the extent of any precipitation over
the next 6-8 hours. Will bump pops a little over the
aforementioned outflow boundary, otherwise the rest of the
forecast is on track this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Isolated convection managing to hold on over eastern Middle
Tennessee even as the sun is setting and loss of instability.
H-triple-r wants to break more showers out west of interstate 65
over the next couple of hours and there are light showers forming
as I type back in west Tennessee that will try and move into
western Middle Tennessee during the next hour. All in all am hard
pressed to find much forcing other than solar insolation and
outflow boundaries to kick off any shower or tstorm activity over
the next 24 hours. Timing will be nearly impossible but did go
with vicinity showers at both Clarksville and Nashville after 12z
Saturday.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Unger
AVIATION........01/Boyd



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