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000
FXUS64 KSJT 260458
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1158 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Some stratus is expected to develop across the far southern
terminals towards daybreak, with some TEMPO MVFR ceilings
possible at KJCT and some scattered low clouds at KSOA.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist across the terminals
the next 24 hours. Light winds overnight will become southerly
at 10 to 15 knots on Wednesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 655 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

It still looks like there will be some stratus developing across
the far southern terminals towards daybreak, with a couple of
hours of MVFR stratus at the KJCT terminal and possibly KSOA
through mid morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail
across the terminals the next 24 hours. Light winds overnight
will become southerly at 10 to 15 knots on Wednesday.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 354 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Wednesday)

The upper high will build tonight and Wednesday over eastern New
Mexico, northwest Texas and Oklahoma. With building heights aloft
and increasing subsidence, rain chances across our area will be on
a diminishing trend. A decent cu field across the area this
afternoon due to abundant boundary layer moisture and weak
instability. Can not rule out and isolated shower or storm.
Otherwise, going with a dry forecast the next 24 hours. Lows
tonight will be 70 to 75 and highs Wednesday will be in the mid to
upper 90s, with possibly a few locations reaching 100.

21

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Tuesday)

Upper level high pressure over the Southern Plains will continue
to keep west central Texas in a predominantly dry pattern through
the remainder of the week. With dry conditions and plenty of
sunshine, high temperatures will climb into the upper 90s to
around 100 each afternoon especially across the Concho Valley and
Big Country.

The center of the aforementioned high pressure shifts to the west
of the region this weekend resulting in northwesterly flow aloft.
Both the GFS and ECMWF continue to indicate disturbances rotating
around the ridge resulting in increasing rain chances for the
latter half of the weekend and going into early next week. The
increasing cloud cover and precipitation will result in cooler
temperatures for the early part of next week.

42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  75  98  75 100 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo  74  99  74 101 /   5   5   0   5
Junction  73  96  73  97 /   5  10   5   5
Brownwood  74  98  74  98 /   5   5   0   5
Sweetwater  74  97  74  97 /   5   0   0   5
Ozona       73  94  72  95 /   5   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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