Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 272143
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
343 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

SNOW DEVELOPED ACROSS OKLAHOMA TODAY...BUT DRIER AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE HAS ALLOWED PRECIPITATION TO EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE
GROUND. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SATURATE THE ATMOSPHERE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH SNOW POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE
OUACHITAS. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY LIGHT...HALF AN INCH OR
LESS...AND TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION TONIGHT...BEFORE THE NEXT
WAVE MOVES OVER THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WITH DEWPOINTS MUCH
HIGHER AND UPPER JET PROVIDING LIFT...EXPECT SNOW TO ACCUMULATE IN
AREAS NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER. AS OF NOW...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
AROUND AN INCH OF LESS...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR LATEST GUIDANCE IF
ANY WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES ARE NEEDED.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT...AND AS TEMPERATURES
WARM...THERE WILL BE A CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE
NORTH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING AREA WIDE SUNDAY
MORNING.

AS COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION AND STALLS SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PATTERN WILL BE ACTIVE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ESPECIALLY
EARLY. IT WILL WARM UP MARKEDLY ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
ARRIVING FROM THE PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
LIKELY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.

THE FRONT MAY STALL FOR A TIME TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH SHOWERS/A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING POSSIBLE MAINLY
OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF ARKANSAS.

A SECONDARY FRONT WILL SURGE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY...WITH
THE BRIEF PERIOD OF SPRING COMING TO A CLOSE. WINTER WILL COME
BACK...WITH TEMPERATURES ON THE WAY DOWN. CHANCES FOR RAIN REMAIN
IN THE FORECAST...WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING AS A FEW SNOWFLAKES
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ANYTHING MAJOR.

THE PERIOD WILL END WITH CLOUDS DECREASING ON THURSDAY...AND BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY/FRIDAY.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58 / LONG TERM...46




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