Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 062333

533 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 254 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

High pressure has shifted to the southeast of the area and
southerly winds are treating us kindly today. Under full sunshine,
afternoon temperatures have warmed into the upper 40s and lower
50s in most locations. Only exception is across south central
Missouri where deeper snow cover has held temperatures in the
lower to middle 40s.

Little change in the weather pattern is expected tonight into
Saturday as high pressure to our south maintains a low level
southwesterly flow. Lows tonight will be warmer than last night,
ranging from the upper 20s in south central Missouri to the
low/mid 30s elsewhere. Jump in 925/850mb temperatures correlate
to highs well into the 50s, if not lower 60s over western portions
of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 254 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

12z suite of model output offers some minor changes to the
forecast for Sunday and Monday. A trough in the southern stream
will move across the southern tier of states, while a weak front
approaches from our northwest. There appears to be enough moisture
availability to warrant low PoPs are southern Missouri Sunday into
Monday. At this juncture the area appears to be on the northern
periphery of the rainfall, and further refinements to PoPs are
expected. At the very least, clouds will be on the increase and
this will keep temperatures in the 50s south to around 60 north
both Sunday and Monday.

At this time, it appears that skies will clear Tuesday and warm
advection will kick in gear. 925/850mb temps correlate well to
highs in the 60s and possibly edging toward the 70 degree mark
Wednesday and Thursday. For Friday, the GFS and ECMWF bring a
storm system into the region from the south. This clips the
southeast half of the area at this point, bringing a chance for


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 533 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG TAFS: VFR conditions expected through the
entire taf period. South to southwest winds expected at all the taf
sites with speeds less than 12 knots through 15Z Saturday and then
increase into the 12KT to 15KT range at KJLN and KSGF after 15Z.




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