Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KSGF 270510
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1210 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 0303 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

Surface high pressure remains over the central U.S. allowing mostly
sunny skies and pleasant late August temperatures, with readings
in the upper 70s to lower 80s during the mid afternoon hours.

An upper level ridge remains centered over the Rocky mountain
region, with northwest flow aloft occurring over the region. An
upper level disturbance and lift will ride the northwest flow and
shower and storm develop is possible across Nebraska and northern
Kansas tonight. If storms develop they would track south and
could clip extreme southeastern Kansas late tonight into Thursday
morning areas west of I-49. There is dry air in place across the
area that needs to so there are questions if the storms can
develop and just how far east they will develop. If they can
develop and affect the area they will dissipate fairly quickly
Thursday morning.

An upper level shortwave will begin to spread into the plains on
Thursday and start to flatten the ridge some, but will remain well
west of the area on Thursday. Overall Thursday afternoon will be
fairly similar to what is occurring this afternoon expect cloud
cover will start to increase some.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 0303 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

The shortwave trough will continue to track east across the plains
Thursday night into Friday night pushing the area of surface high
pressure off to the east. Cannot rule out a thunderstorm Thursday
night and Friday across extreme southeastern Kansas and far
western Missouri with the approach of shortwave, but the better
chances will remain west of the area and most locations are
expected to remain dry.

Friday night into Saturday morning the shortwave trough and an
associated cold front will track east across the area with
scattered storms possible. No severe weather is expected as
instability will be limited in nature.

The upper level ridge will build back over the plains later this
weekend and start to spread east across the area the first half
of next week. Temperature will warm back to near normal with highs
in the upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

VFR conditions are expected through Thursday evening. A few
thunderstorms will be possible around sunrise on Thursday across
extreme southeastern Kansas, but they are expected to remain west
of the Joplin aerodrome at this time. Variable winds tonight will
become southeast on Thursday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Schaumann


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.