Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FLUS43 KSGF 280844
HWOSGF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
344 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-290845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
344 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

A couple of thunderstorms are possible this morning across the
region. No severe weather is expected during the morning hours
today.

South to southeast winds will gust in excess of 35 MPH at times
today.

Numerous thunderstorms are then expected to develop across the
area this evening and continue through the overnight hours. There
will be a risk of large hail, along with a few strong wind gusts
and perhaps a tornado or two with this activity. In addition, very
heavy rainfall is expected with these storms. The potential for
widespread flash flooding is becoming increasingly likely with
some significant flooding possible. A Flash Flood Watch is in
effect for all of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeastern
Kansas from this evening through Sunday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected to continue through
the day Saturday into Saturday night, before the heavy rain begins
to end on Sunday. Much of the outlook area is expected to receive
between 4 and 6 inches of rain by Sunday, with some localized
areas receiving more than 8 inches of rain. This rainfall,
combined with already saturated soils, will likely lead to
widespread flooding across the area. Along with flooding of
creeks, streams, and low water crossings, many area rivers are
expected to reach moderate flood stage, with several locations
possibly reaching major flood stage.

In addition to the flood risk on Saturday, the threat for severe
weather will continue. Thunderstorms will pose a risk for large
hail, wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH, and perhaps a tornado or
two.

Residual flooding will likely continue through at least the first
half of the workweek next week.

There will be an additional risk for showers and a few
thunderstorms by mid week next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed later tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Boxell


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