000
FLUS43 KSGF 151002
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
502 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
502 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY FROM SOUTHWEST TO
  NORTHEAST. HOWEVER...AHEAD OF THIS MOISTURE RETURN DRY
  CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
  MISSOURI WHERE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN
  OCCUR.

  A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN BRING RAIN TO THE REGION
  FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A FEW EMBEDDED
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS ACTIVITY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO AND ONE
  QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
  OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

  A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTH INTO THE REGION
  LATE TONIGHT. NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
  BEHIND THE FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
  AREA SUNDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT SUNDAY
  MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS FAR WESTERN
  MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

  TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 30S INTO THE 20S DURING THE
  DAY SUNDAY. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO
  SOUTHEAST SUNDAY MORNING INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SLUSHY
  SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...
  ESPECIALLY ON GRASSY SURFACES. A CORRIDOR OF SLIGHTLY HEAVIER
  AMOUNTS IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE MAY FALL ALONG THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN OF THE OZARK PLATEAU FROM JUST EAST OF SPRINGFIELD...
  EAST TOWARDS SALEM. WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL
  BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

  THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING SNOWFALL
  POTENTIAL WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM...THUS INTERESTED PARTIES
  SHOULD MONITOR FOR LATER UPDATES TO PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF