Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FLUS43 KSGF 271045
HWOSGF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
545 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
545 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Flooding risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Residual flooding of some creeks and low water crossings will
continue today across the eastern Missouri Ozarks.

Southeast wind gusts around 30 mph are expected late tonight
around the Springfield metropolitan area.

A few thunderstorms will then be possible tonight as a weak storm
system moves across the region. No severe storms are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Confidence is now high that heavy rainfall will impact the
Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeastern Kansas from Friday night
into Sunday. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are
expected, with localized amounts of 8 inches or more likely. The
exact location of the heaviest rainfall still remains somewhat
unclear.

The potential for widespread flash flooding is becoming
increasingly likely with some significant flooding possible. A
Flash Flood Watch is in effect for all of the Missouri Ozarks
and extreme southeastern Kansas from Friday evening through
Sunday. It should also be noted that flooding of some low water
crossings, creeks, and rivers may persist for several days after
the rain ends.

There is also an elevated risk for severe storms across portions
of southern Missouri Friday night. Large hail up to the size of
golf balls and damaging winds will be the primary potential severe
weather hazards. There will be a limited threat for a few
tornadoes across portions of south-central Missouri near a
developing frontal boundary. The exact location of the greatest
severe weather threat for Friday night will be highly dependent on
the location of that front. This location will become clearer
with future outlooks.

The risk for strong to severe storms may then persist into
Saturday across portions of southern Missouri. Again, the threat
for severe storms will be dependent on the location of that front.

Thunderstorms will then end later on Sunday with another chance
for thunderstorms around the middle of next week.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann


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