National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KSJT 190445
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1145 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals the next 24
hours. Expect light south to southeast winds through the
period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 905 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017/

UPDATE...
Removed rain chances over all but Crockett county.

DISCUSSION...
Evening showers and thunderstorms have ended, except for a
cluster of storms moving north from NW Valverde county into
SW Crockett county. Expect these storms to gradually diminish and
end through midnight.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 654 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible at KSOA,
with temporary reductions to visibilities and ceilings through
02Z. Otherwise, no precipitation is expected across the terminals
the next 24 hours with VFR continuing. Expect light winds through
the period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 353 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Tomorrow)

Look for dry conditions for the next 24 hours, with temperatures
close to July normals. High pressure will continue to build over
the region, and winds will be generally from a south direction at
10 mph or less. Lows tonight, mainly in the lower to mid 70s, look
likely. Plus, highs tomorrow will likely range from the mid to
upper 90s.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

Possible Rain Mid To Late Week...

Models this cycle continue to present possible rain chances mid
to late next week. However, the ECMWF is more aggressive than the
GFS with this potential scenario. It appears the ECMWF brings a
weak front or surface boundary into our counties, during that
time frame. Plus, models shift the upper pattern to position high
pressure centers in such a way (west and east of our area) to
create a shear zone aloft over Texas, during that time frame. So,
continuing slight chance to chance PoPs for the Tuesday night
through Friday periods looks reasonable. Otherwise, expect
temperatures into mid week at or just above normals; then,
temperatures should cool for the mid to late week periods, as
cloud cover increases.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  74  96  74  97 /  10   5   5   5
San Angelo  73  96  73  97 /  10   5   5   5
Junction  72  97  71  96 /  10   5   0   5
Brownwood  73  97  73  96 /  10   5   5   5
Sweetwater  73  95  73  95 /  10   5   5   5
Ozona       72  95  72  94 /  30   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/24

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office