Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 280840
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
340 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

A weak cold front will move through West Central Texas late
morning and afternoon. Computer models, including the HRRR and
Texas Tech 3KM WRF are in good agreement with scattered showers
and thunderstorms developing toward daybreak in the the Big
Country and after 11 AM along and east of a Sweetwater, San
Angelo, Sonora line. Main weather impacts will be localized heavy
rainfall/flooding as precipitable waters are around 1.5 inches
and storms will slow moving due to weak steering winds. Storms
will be diurnal in nature with most storms weakening or
dissipating late afternoon. Left a slight chance of evening storms
for areas along the I-10 corridor were storms may persist into the
evening. Highs today will be in the lower 90s, although convection
may kept some areas in the upper 80s. Overnight lows will be in
the lower 70s.

04

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Independence Day)

Broad upper level ridging remains in place across the
southwestern CONUS, southeast into Texas. The upper level moving
west/southwest along the southern side of this ridging, and aided
in the development of shower/thunderstorms over the weekend will
have moved out of the area and weakened by Wednesday. At the same
time, the upper level ridge will also begin slowly
shifting/expanding into central Texas during the second half of
the week. This will result in a drier and warmer forecast late
this week into early next week. Will continue the inherited dry
forecast from Wednesday into early next week. Temperatures will
warm from the lower 90s to around 100 degrees for afternoon highs
by next week. Lows will generally be in the lower to mid 70s.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  92  70  93  71 /  40  10  10   5
San Angelo  92  70  93  70 /  30  10  10   0
Junction  93  71  94  70 /  40  20  10   5

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$



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