Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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172
FXUS64 KSJT 230450
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1150 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions and light north winds will prevail through Sunday
afternoon across West Central Texas terminals.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 618 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions should prevail across West Central Texas terminals
through Sunday afternoon. Gusty north winds early this evening
will become light north and northeast around sunset.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 339 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

Cool temperatures and dry weather will prevail for the next 24
hours. Lows tonight will be in the lower to mid 40s and highs
Sunday will be in the lower 70s.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

Above normal temperatures are expected this week, with well above
normal temperatures for Tuesday and Thursday. On Monday, breezy
south to southwest winds return, with highs in the lower and
middle 80s. A shortwave will move east across the central Plains
on Tuesday, with an associated surface low developing over
southern Kansas. A tightening pressure gradient will result in
gusty southwest to west winds during the day, with well above
normal temperatures due to some downsloping and the expansion of
the thermal ridge across the area. Highs on Tuesday are expected
to top out in the lower and middle 90s, with a few upper 90s
possible across the Concho Valley.

As the aforementioned shortwave continues east, an associated
weak cold front will drop south across the area Tuesday night
and early Wednesday but will wash out rather quickly by Wednesday
night as south flow returns ahead of another developing upper
trough to our west. Temperatures will be cooler on Wednesday
behind the front, especially across northern sections, with highs
ranging from the lower 80s north, to the upper 80s and lower 90s
south.

Another very warm day is expected on Thursday as gusty southwest
winds develop in advance of the amplifying upper trough across
the Rockies. Temperatures will again be well above normal, with
afternoon highs in the lower and middle 90s. Confidence remains
rather low concerning the evolution and progression of the upper
trough late this week into the start of next weekend as the medium
range models continue to differ. At this time, it appears that
any rain chances with this system will be confined to the eastern
third of the forecast area Friday night through Saturday and will
continue with low POPs for now. High temperatures Friday and
Saturday will be mainly in the 80s, with overnight lows in the
60s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  43  72  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  44  74  48  84 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  44  74  45  82 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  44  72  44  82 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  44  70  50  85 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       44  73  48  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07



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