Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KTBW 221356
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
956 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.UPDATE...Rainshowers and a stray storm continue to sit over the
warm gulf coast waters west of Tampa Bay, while things remain quiet
over the Florida peninsula. HRRR model guidance shows continued
storms over the gulf waters through the day, while the east coast
sea breeze fires up around 16Z and will then move westward. These
storms will make it to the west coast after 18Z with the highest
coverage occurring closer to 22Z. The 12z sounding is a little more
moist that 24 hours ago, coming in at just under 2 inches PWAT. So,
conditions will be very similiar, if not slightly more active, than
previous days. Current forecast looks good for now with 30-60 pops
starting at 18z. No updates needed at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Overall VFR conditions are expected at all terminals
today, then scattered thunderstorms could cause some brief
MVFR/local IFR conditions this afternoon and evening. Have put VCTS
for all terminals from 17Z until 00Z. Winds will remain out of an
east southeast direction between 5-8 knots, with an afternoon sea
breeze setting up at the coastal terminals causing an onshore wind
flow.

&&

.MARINE...High pressure north of the area will keep a predominant
east southeast wind flow over the gulf waters. The only exception
will be closer to the coast where the sea breeze will set up causing
an onshore wind flow. No significant marine hazards expected outside
of thunderstorm activity, which will produce gusty winds and higher
seas.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  92  77  92  78 /  50  30  20  20
FMY  91  75  91  76 /  70  30  50  30
GIF  93  74  94  74 /  50  20  30  20
SRQ  91  76  92  76 /  40  30  20  20
BKV  93  72  94  73 /  50  40  20  20
SPG  92  77  92  79 /  40  30  20  20

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...74/Wynn
UPPER AIR...09/Rude
DECISION SUPPORT...57/McMichael


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.