Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KTBW 190032
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
832 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.UPDATE...
A BACK DOOR TYPE COLD FRONT NOW MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PENINSULA
WILL SINK SLOWLY SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH JUST A FEW CLOUDS ACCOMPANYING IT. ON
SUNDAY REINFORCING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
BUILD EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC AND WILL BRIDGE ACROSS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DURING THE DAY WITH A NORTHEAST WIND FLOW EXPECTED. DRY AND
STABLE CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT AMPLE SUNSHINE ON SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES A TAD WARMER THAN TODAY WITH HIGHS RUNNING A DEGREE OR
TWO ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.

AS FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT EXPECT PLEASANT DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. THE CLEAR SKIES AND CALM
WINDS MAY SUPPORT SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THE FOG PRONE AREAS
OF THE NATURE COAST AND OVER INTERIOR CENTRAL LOCATIONS DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS ON SUNDAY...BUT OVERALL COVERAGE WILL REMAIN TOO LOW
TO MENTION IN THE GRIDS/ZONES. TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL BE MILDER
THAN LAST NIGHT AS THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MODIFY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS FALLING INTO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE NATURE COAST...AND UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S CENTRAL AND SOUTH. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK
WITH NO EVENING UPDATE REQUIRED.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAY SEE BRIEF MVFR VSBYS FROM SOME PATCHY FOG AT KLAL AND KPGD BETWEEN
09-12Z...OTHERWISE VFR IS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL BECOME CALM
BY 02Z. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST WINDS AT 5 TO 7 KNOTS AFTER 14Z
BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER 20Z.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THIS EVENING AS A BACK DOOR COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE OUT
FOR POSSIBLE SCEC CONDITIONS FOR THE NORTHERN WATERS OVERNIGHT
SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY WITH THIS FRONT...OTHERWISE NO MAJOR HAZARDS
ARE EXPECTED. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATERS AS MOISTURE GRADUALLY RETURNS TO THE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO CHANGES ARE EXPECTED IN THE LATE EVENING
ISSUANCE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...57/MCMICHAEL
MARINE...11/MCKAUGHAN
DECISION SUPPORT...18/FLEMING






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.