Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 230135
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
935 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.UPDATE...
CONVECTION HAS WOUND DOWN FOR THE MOST PART WITH A COUPLE OF
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE NATURE COAST AND SOME LEFTOVER LIGHT
RAIN OVER THE INTERIOR. FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT SKIES WILL
BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY WITH WINDS REMAINING RATHER LIGHT. COULD SEE
SOME PATCHES OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED RAIN
TODAY...BUT NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING TOO WIDESPREAD AT THIS TIME.
FOR WEDNESDAY WE SHOULD SEE MORE SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
STORMS AS AMPLE MOISTURE COMBINES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND THE
BAY/SEA BREEZES. HAVE UPDATED GRIDS TO REMOVE RAIN CHANCES ON LAND
FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND WILL UPDATE ZONES SHORTLY. REMAINDER
OF FORECAST LOOKS OK AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
COULD SEE SOME LOCAL AREAS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN IFR CEILINGS
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN SOME AREAS OF MVFR
CEILINGS DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING AS DAYTIME HEATING GETS
UNDERWAY. SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
CAUSING SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN IT WILL SETTLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TO END THE WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH A SEA
BREEZE NEAR THE COAST EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN WINDS
WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST TO WEST TO END THE WEEK. THE ONLY
HAZARDS WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE STORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  91  78  92 /   5  40  30  40
FMY  75  93  77  94 /   5  50  30  40
GIF  75  93  76  93 /   5  60  30  50
SRQ  75  91  77  92 /  10  30  30  30
BKV  71  93  72  93 /   5  40  30  40
SPG  79  90  80  91 /  10  30  30  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...69/CLOSE
MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT...63/JILLSON




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