Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 192138
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
338 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
No big changes have been made with this forecast.  Above-normal high
temperatures are expected through Monday.  A cold front Tuesday will
set highs back to at or below normal Tuesday through Tuesday.
Potential for wintry precipitation looks to be confined to late
Tuesday night only, and to only the northeast one quarter of the
Combined Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

Areas of fog are expected to develop late tonight across eastern
sections, where backing winds tonight will hold low-level moisture in
place.

Mid-level ridge behind departing closed low expected to quickly
traverse the forecast area tonight.  Next shortwave trof passes
through on Friday, with falling heights causing windy conditions on
Friday.  Deep westerly low-level winds across southern sections will
induce warming, likely increasing the baroclinicity along deepening
surface wave over northern sections during the day.

After cold front`s brief intrusion into northern sections late Friday
and Friday evening, more westerly low-level flow will act to
dissipate the boundary.  Warm air advection ahead of next shortwave
trof will support chances for rain on Saturday.  Lack of cold air
lead us to lower our concerns for wintry weather.  Brief opportunity
for light snow now appears to be only late Saturday night in
northeast part of forecast area as developing closed low departs.

Abundant sunshine on Sunday allows for respectable warmup in spite of
post-frontal airmass.  Warm also on Monday.  Tuesday`s system looks
to be dry, with windy conditions again ahead of Tuesday`s cold
front.  03

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No elevated or critical fire weather conditions expected through
Thursday due to relative humidity values remaining above necessary
thresholds.  Windy conditions on Friday and Tuesday may cause an
increase in fire spread potential.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                35  63  35  55  31 /   0   0   0  30  10
Beaver OK                  31  57  31  54  31 /   0   5   0  20  40
Boise City OK              26  53  29  52  27 /   0  10   5  30  30
Borger TX                  35  63  34  56  34 /   0   0   0  30  20
Boys Ranch TX              36  62  34  57  31 /   0   0   0  20  10
Canyon TX                  36  64  36  57  32 /   0   0   0  30  10
Clarendon TX               37  66  37  60  36 /   0   0   0  30  20
Dalhart TX                 30  61  30  56  27 /   0   5   0  20  10
Guymon OK                  29  56  29  55  30 /   0   5   5  20  30
Hereford TX                39  62  35  56  31 /   0   0   0  20  10
Lipscomb TX                34  65  33  56  34 /   0   5   0  30  50
Pampa TX                   32  64  34  59  31 /   0   0   0  30  30
Shamrock TX                33  68  37  63  36 /   0   0   0  30  40
Wellington TX              34  69  38  64  38 /   0   0   0  30  20

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03


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