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000
FLUS44 KTSA 152258
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HIGH FIRE DANGER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
AS A LEE SIDE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THE STRONG
WINDS AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL YIELD CONDITIONS MORE
CONDUCIVE FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

A COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON
FRIDAY. MOISTURE INCREASING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. WHAT HAPPENS OVER THE WEEKEND IS
NOW MORE UNCERTAIN. THE DATA IS STARTING TO SUGGEST MORE OF A
GLANCING BLOW OF ARCTIC AIR...AND IS THUS NOT AS COLD WITH THE
INITIAL SURGE WHICH COULD AFFECT DETAILS SUCH AS PRECIP TYPE AND
AMOUNTS. A WEAKER SURGE OF COLD AIR INTO OUR REGION WOULD REDUCE
THE ICE POTENTIAL...FOR INSTANCE. NEVERTHELESS...THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND REMAINS. IT IS
STILL TOO EARLY TO TELL EXACT DETAILS SUCH AS PRECIP
TYPE...AMOUNTS AND LOCATIONS AT THIS JUNCTURE. STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST FORECAST UPDATES...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WHO HAVE TRAVEL
PLANS THIS WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY