Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 111024
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
424 AM CST WED JAN 11 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
424 AM CST WED JAN 11 2017

...ICE ACCUMULATION AND FLOODING CONCERNS REMAIN LATE THIS WEEK AND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...ELEVATED.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
 ONSET...9 AM.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
 ONSET...9 AM.

DISCUSSION...
VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST TODAY ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...AS WINDY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS
DEVELOP. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TO THE NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44...WHERE NEAR RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS AND THE RESULTING FIRE DANGER WILL
INCREASE BY MID MORNING...AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BEGINNING AT 9 AM. THE
WINDS AND CORRESPONDING FIRE DANGER WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING REMAIN LIKELY FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...AS A SLOW MOVING...STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
IMPACTS OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE
NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 CONTINUE TO BE THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATIONS TO SEE THE GREATEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF A
QUARTER INCH...THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL
JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...ALONG THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR
ITSELF...WILL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE FREEZING LINE
PROGRESSES AND HOW LONG IT REMAINS IN PLACE BEFORE MOVING BACK TO
THE NORTH.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
STORM TOTALS LIKELY...WILL AFFECT EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. DESPITE THE ONGOING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AMOUNTS OF THIS NATURE COULD LEAD TO BOTH
RIVER AND AREAL FLOODING. IT IS ALSO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN CONJUNCTION
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THERE IS ALSO
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL IMPACT PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PREPARATIONS THAT REQUIRE LONGER DURATION LEAD TIMES SHOULD
ALREADY BE UNDERWAY. CONSIDER BEGINNING SHORTER LEAD TIME
PREPARATIONS SOON. CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECASTS AND EVALUATE
FORECAST TRENDS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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