Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 231746
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1246 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...DANGEROUS HEAT CONTINUES THRU THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ELEVATED TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE 105 TO 110 DEGREE RANGE WILL BE
COMMON ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING.

A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY THRU WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT
POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT
WEST GOING INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE.  BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL COME EARLY IN
THE WEEK...AND AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. STORM
DEVELOPMENT FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A NEARBY FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WIND SHEAR ALOFT WILL STILL REMAIN
FAIRLY WEAK...THEREFORE THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK WILL REMAIN LOW.

DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST THRU THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE BACKING OFF SLIGHTLY AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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